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NGS$39.45+0.38%
Fair $39.45+0.0%

NGS

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesNYSE

$39.45

+0.15 (+0.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $39.45Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-58.6M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · NGSLocal privado en este navegador · Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$497M

P/E

22.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.7x

↑

ROE

7.3%

↑

Gross Margin

37.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.84

↑
52-Week Range$39
$23$44

TradingView lightweight chart

NGS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.45Periodo +828.2%
Fair value: $39.45

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-34.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $172.3M · net income $19.9M · FCF $-58.6M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.1%— pts

Operating margin

23.4%-2.8% pts

Net margin

11.6%-4.7% pts

FCF margin

-34.0%-67.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$172.3M$172.3M$156.7M$121.2M$84.8M$8.8M$7.2M$21.7M$17.7M$21.6M$37.6M$95.9M$97.0M$89.2M$93.7M$65.2M$53.9M$67.8M
Net Income$19.9M$19.9M$17.2M$4.7M$-569000.00$-9.2M$1.8M$-13.9M$-466000.00$19.8M$6.5M$10.1M$14.1M$14.4M$12.7M$9.8M$7.0M$11.0M
EBITDA$75.6M$75.6M$64.2M$37.3M$24.4M$13.0M$21.6M$8.1M$21.6M$22.8M$30.2M$37.9M$43.5M$40.2M$35.9M$28.9M$23.3M$29.4M
EPS1.571.571.370.38-0.05-0.700.14-1.06-0.041.510.500.791.111.151.030.800.580.91
Gross Margin37.1%37.1%36.1%26.5%16.9%—————————————
Operating Margin23.4%23.4%21.5%9.3%0.4%-141.1%-49.8%-69.7%-2.9%6.8%22.4%15.8%22.7%24.7%21.6%22.8%21.1%26.2%
Net Margin11.6%11.6%11.0%3.9%-0.7%-104.4%25.0%-63.8%-2.6%91.4%17.2%10.6%14.6%16.1%13.5%15.0%13.0%16.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.840.840.670.700.11—————————————
Current Ratio2.702.70————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-58.6M$-58.6M$-5.4M$-135.9M$-37.4M$2.8M$17.4M$-40.5M$-16.4M$4.0M$28.5M$29.1M$-18.8M$-4.2M$11.7M$-2.9M$6.9M$22.6M
Returns
ROE7.3%7.3%6.8%2.0%-0.2%-3.9%0.7%-5.6%-0.2%7.7%2.8%4.5%6.7%7.5%7.2%6.0%4.7%7.8%
Valuation
P/E22.9422.9420.2541.92——————————————
EV/EBITDA9.689.688.049.636.85—————————————
P/B1.821.821.360.840.63—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.9%9.9%29.4%42.8%—21.7%-66.8%22.8%-18.2%-42.5%-60.8%-1.1%8.7%-4.8%43.8%20.9%-20.5%—
EPS Growth14.6%14.6%260.5%860.0%—-600.0%113.2%-2550.0%-102.6%202.0%-36.7%-28.8%-3.5%11.7%28.7%37.9%-36.3%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.50

Spread vs growth

-16.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.24

Spread vs growth

-7.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.82

Spread vs growth

-1.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +65.5%

Total return

+65.5%

Start / end P/E

17.5x → 25.1x

EPS bridge

1.37 → 1.57

Residual

+6.4%

EPS growth+14.6%
Multiple rerating+43.6%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.