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NOA$13.54-2.59%
Fair $13.54+0.0%

NOA

North American Construction Group Ltd.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesNYSE

$13.54

-0.36 (-2.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.54Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-21.3M · quality 22.0/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.05, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · NOALocal privado en este navegador · North American Construction Group Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$367M

P/E

16.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.05

↑
52-Week Range$14
$12$18

TradingView lightweight chart

NOA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.54Periodo -15.9%
Fair value: $13.54

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.28B · net income $33.8M · FCF $-21.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

8.6%-0.8% pts

Net margin

2.6%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

-1.7%-8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.28B$1.28B$1.17B$964.7M$769.5M
Net Income$33.8M$33.8M$44.0M$63.1M$67.4M
EBITDA$329.9M$329.9M$301.3M$252.6M$227.2M
EPS1.141.141.512.092.15
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%18.0%16.1%13.2%
Operating Margin8.6%8.6%13.2%10.2%9.3%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%3.8%6.5%8.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.052.052.122.011.42
Current Ratio1.111.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-21.3M$-21.3M$-66.7M$74.6M$53.9M
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%11.3%17.7%22.0%
Valuation
P/E16.7216.7214.429.976.25
EV/EBITDA3.863.864.875.213.62
P/B0.960.961.851.931.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.2%10.2%20.8%25.4%—
EPS Growth-24.5%-24.5%-27.8%-2.8%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.20

Spread vs growth

-26.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.45

Spread vs growth

-29.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.34

Spread vs growth

-32.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.5%

Total return

-20.5%

Start / end P/E

11.7x → 11.9x

EPS bridge

1.51 → 1.14

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth-24.5%
Multiple rerating+1.9%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.