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NOG.L$3.50+0.00%
Fair $3.50+0.0%

NOG.L

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedLSE

$3.50

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.50Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.4M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · NOG.LLocal privado en este navegador · Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

69.8%

↑

Gross Margin

32.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

-2.29

↓
52-Week Range$4
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

NOG.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.500Periodo -100.0%
Fair value: $3.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.0%

FCF / Net income

0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $118.0M · net income $-213.7M · FCF $-9.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.8%-25.1% pts

Operating margin

3.2%-15.2% pts

Net margin

-181.1%-122.8% pts

FCF margin

-8.0%-51.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$118.0M$118.0M$137.1M$119.6M$199.7M
Net Income$-213.7M$-213.7M$-26.1M$831.7M$-116.4M
EBITDA$-53.5M$-53.5M$143.4M$973.7M$76.2M
EPS-1.29-1.29-0.1549.20-6.90
Gross Margin32.8%32.8%47.5%35.1%57.9%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%15.9%-6.9%18.4%
Net Margin-181.1%-181.1%-19.1%695.2%-58.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-2.29-2.29-6.17-7.13-1.49
Current Ratio0.260.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.4M$-9.4M$535000.00$-19.5M$87.4M
Returns
ROE69.8%69.8%28.2%-1256.8%12.4%
Valuation
P/E———0.22—
EV/EBITDA——6.470.5121.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.9%-13.9%14.6%-40.1%—
EPS Growth-760.0%-760.0%-100.3%813.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.9%

Total return

+2.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.15 → -1.29

Residual

+2.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.