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NPK$127.84+1.00%
Fair $127.84+0.0%

NPK

National Presto Industries, Inc.

Industrials / Aerospace & DefenseNYSE

$127.84

+1.27 (+1.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $127.84Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-36.2M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NPKLocal privado en este navegador · National Presto Industries, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$916M

P/E

28.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.6x

↑

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

16.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$128
$84$150

TradingView lightweight chart

NPK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $126.57Periodo +262.3%
Fair value: $127.84

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $503.5M · net income $33.1M · FCF $-36.2M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.0%-7.1% pts

Operating margin

8.5%-10.6% pts

Net margin

6.6%-6.5% pts

FCF margin

-7.2%-19.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$503.5M$503.5M$388.2M$340.9M$321.6M$355.8M$352.6M$308.5M$323.3M$333.6M$341.9M$355.6M$347.2M$420.2M$472.5M$431.0M$479.0M$478.5M
Net Income$33.1M$33.1M$41.5M$34.6M$20.7M$25.7M$47.0M$42.2M$39.9M$53.0M$44.6M$40.5M$26.5M$41.3M$38.9M$48.0M$63.5M$62.6M
EBITDA$48.1M$48.1M$50.3M$41.0M$30.8M$33.0M$59.2M$50.1M$54.1M$71.5M$71.4M$71.4M$61.3M$66.6M$70.9M$82.8M$105.9M—
EPS——5.824.862.923.636.67———————5.646.989.269.13
Gross Margin16.0%16.0%20.2%19.8%17.1%18.1%24.1%23.3%23.5%26.1%25.1%25.1%23.4%18.9%20.1%21.8%23.7%23.0%
Operating Margin8.5%8.5%11.6%10.3%8.5%8.4%15.9%15.0%14.8%18.5%18.3%17.6%13.2%13.7%12.6%17.1%20.3%19.1%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%10.7%10.1%6.4%7.2%13.3%13.7%12.4%15.9%13.0%11.4%7.6%9.8%8.2%11.1%13.3%13.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.030.030.03—————————————
Current Ratio5.885.88————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-36.2M$-36.2M$-61.0M$43.5M$7.7M$31.8M$38.4M$6.4M$67.6M$16.9M$59.4M$39.8M——$48.8M$43.7M$39.8M$58.8M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%11.3%9.7%5.9%7.2%12.5%11.5%10.9%14.5%12.7%11.9%8.1%12.4%13.4%14.3%18.5%—
Valuation
P/E28.4728.4716.5116.4724.21—————————————
EV/EBITDA19.5619.5613.4811.9814.32—————————————
P/B2.302.301.861.601.44—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth29.7%29.7%13.9%6.0%—0.9%14.3%-4.6%-3.1%-2.4%-3.9%2.4%-17.4%-11.1%9.6%-10.0%0.1%—
EPS Growth——19.8%66.4%—-45.6%————————-19.2%-24.6%1.4%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.0%

Total return

+50.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

5.82 → n/d

Residual

+49.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+49.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.