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NRCA.JK$498.00+1.63%
Fair $498.00+0.0%

NRCA.JK

PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionJakarta

$498.00

+8.00 (+1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $498.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $54.3B · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NRCA.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.24T

P/E

7.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

12.8%

↑

Gross Margin

11.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.23

↓
52-Week Range$498
$300$2160

TradingView lightweight chart

NRCA.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $498.00Periodo -60.8%
Fair value: $498.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.61T · net income $175.52B · FCF $8.66B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.0%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

6.7%+0.3% pts

Net margin

4.9%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

0.2%+0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3612.21B$3612.21B$3372.47B$2895.51B$2462.41B
Net Income$175.52B$175.52B$81.60B$99.51B$74.67B
EBITDA$205.87B$205.87B$106.95B$122.37B$101.28B
EPS72.0072.0034.0041.0031.00
Gross Margin11.0%11.0%11.5%11.1%10.8%
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%7.4%6.8%6.5%
Net Margin4.9%4.9%2.4%3.4%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.150.110.19
Current Ratio1.801.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.66B$8.66B$54.32B$148.30B$-9.29B
Returns
ROE12.8%12.8%6.8%8.3%6.2%
Valuation
P/E7.017.0110.418.299.48
EV/EBITDA4.344.344.652.792.86
P/B0.890.890.710.690.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%16.5%17.6%—
EPS Growth111.8%111.8%-17.1%32.3%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$44.19

Spread vs growth

126.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$53.47

Spread vs growth

117.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$86.11

Spread vs growth

110.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +49.2%

Total return

+49.2%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 6.9x

EPS bridge

34.00 → 72.00

Residual

-34.9%

EPS growth+111.8%
Multiple rerating-31.2%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.