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NWL.MI$15.00-0.73%
Fair $15.00+0.0%

NWL.MI

NewPrinces S.p.A.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsMilan

$15.00

-0.11 (-0.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $253.0M · quality 42.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.13, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · NWL.MILocal privado en este navegador · NewPrinces S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$623M

P/E

1.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.8x

↓

ROE

46.7%

↑

Gross Margin

18.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.13

↑
52-Week Range$15
$14$26

TradingView lightweight chart

NWL.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.00Periodo +158.6%
Fair value: $15.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+58.7%

FCF CAGR

+454.9%

FCF margin

13.4%

FCF / Net income

1.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.96B · net income $375.1M · FCF $397.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.8%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

3.6%+0.7% pts

Net margin

12.7%+11.8% pts

FCF margin

13.4%+13.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.96B$2.96B$1.64B$793.3M$741.1M
Net Income$375.1M$375.1M$160.6M$14.3M$6.2M
EBITDA$582.3M$582.3M$264.4M$75.9M$54.4M
EPS8.718.713.600.340.16
Gross Margin18.8%18.8%16.5%17.3%18.0%
Operating Margin3.6%3.6%2.6%3.5%2.9%
Net Margin12.7%12.7%9.8%1.8%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.132.133.822.520.38
Current Ratio1.391.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$397.7M$397.7M$253.0M$37.5M$2.3M
Returns
ROE46.7%46.7%48.2%9.0%5.0%
Valuation
P/E1.911.913.4622.6228.00
EV/EBITDA1.761.765.165.42-1.19
P/B0.800.801.642.041.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth80.4%80.4%106.9%7.0%—
EPS Growth141.9%141.9%958.8%112.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-46.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.33

Spread vs growth

188.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-28.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.61

Spread vs growth

170.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.59

Spread vs growth

153.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.9%

Total return

-18.9%

Start / end P/E

5.1x → 1.7x

EPS bridge

3.60 → 8.71

Residual

-94.4%

EPS growth+141.9%
Multiple rerating-66.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-94.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.