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NXL.AX$1.54+1.99%
Fair $1.54+0.0%

NXL.AX

Nuix Limited

Technology / Software - ApplicationASX

$1.54

+0.03 (+1.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.54Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-6.0M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · NXL.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Nuix Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$522M

P/E

38.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.9x

↓

ROE

1.8%

↓

Gross Margin

90.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

NXL.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.540Periodo -80.8%
Fair value: $1.540

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

3.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $220.6M · net income $5.0M · FCF $17.2M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

90.2%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

-20.5%-1.9% pts

Net margin

2.3%+3.2% pts

FCF margin

7.8%+21.7% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$220.6M$220.6M$182.5M$152.3M$176.1M
Net Income$5.0M$5.0M$-5.6M$-22.8M$-1.6M
EBITDA$59.2M$59.2M$36.7M$13.2M$28.1M
EPS0.020.02-0.02-0.07-0.01
Gross Margin90.2%90.2%87.4%87.9%89.3%
Operating Margin-20.5%-20.5%-26.2%-39.7%-18.6%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%-3.1%-15.0%-0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.050.04
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$17.2M$17.2M$-6.0M$-14.6M$-24.5M
Returns
ROE1.8%1.8%-2.1%-8.5%-0.6%
Valuation
P/E38.5038.50———
EV/EBITDA7.947.946.8617.7123.37
P/B1.741.741.000.992.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.9%20.9%19.8%-13.5%—
EPS Growth188.1%188.1%74.9%-1150.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

106.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.14

Spread vs growth

81.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

60.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.17

Spread vs growth

127.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

32.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.27

Spread vs growth

155.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.1%

Total return

-37.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → 0.02

Residual

-37.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.