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v0.1
OBIO$3.83-2.05%
Fair $3.83+0.0%

OBIO

Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGM

$3.83

-0.08 (-2.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.83Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-49.5M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 1unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -98.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · OBIOLocal privado en este navegador · Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$229M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-98.4%

↓

Gross Margin

99.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↑
52-Week Range$4
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

OBIO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.830Periodo -66.4%
Fair value: $3.830

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-147.7%

FCF / Net income

0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $33.5M · net income $-52.7M · FCF $-49.5M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.4%— pts

Operating margin

-154.7%— pts

Net margin

-157.4%— pts

FCF margin

-147.7%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Income Statement
Revenue$33.5M$33.5M$2.6M$2.8M$3.5M——
Net Income$-52.7M$-52.7M$-61.0M$-49.1M$-33.6M$-378753.00—
EBITDA$-51.2M$-51.2M$-64.0M$-51.2M$-32.4M——
EPS——-1.66-1.48-1.06-0.02—
Gross Margin99.4%99.4%92.3%93.3%94.0%——
Operating Margin-154.7%-154.7%-2437.5%-1866.2%-924.3%——
Net Margin-157.4%-157.4%-2313.3%-1779.7%-951.3%——
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.500.020.23——
Current Ratio7.037.03—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-49.5M$-49.5M$-50.8M$-46.2M$-29.9M——
Returns
ROE-98.4%-98.4%-185.2%-72.2%-64.0%9.6%—
Valuation
P/B4.084.086.473.646.04——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1169.2%1169.2%-4.4%-21.9%———
EPS Growth——-12.2%-39.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.4%

Total return

+34.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.66 → n/d

Residual

+34.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.