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v0.1
OBSRV.OL$0.97-3.76%
Fair $0.97+0.0%

OBSRV.OL

Observe Medical ASA

Healthcare / Medical DevicesOslo

$0.97

-0.04 (-3.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.97Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 3/F
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-29.3M · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

3/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · OBSRV.OLLocal privado en este navegador · Observe Medical ASA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$132M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-162.4%

↓

Gross Margin

25.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.03

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

OBSRV.OL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.972Periodo -98.5%
Fair value: $0.972

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-138.1%

FCF / Net income

0.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.8M · net income $-48.6M · FCF $-26.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.0%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

-198.5%+104.5% pts

Net margin

-258.6%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

-138.1%+150.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.8M$18.8M$17.2M$27.9M$19.5M
Net Income$-48.6M$-48.6M$-58.7M$-135.1M$-50.8M
EBITDA$-30.1M$-30.1M$-34.8M$-114.3M$-36.0M
EPS-0.73-0.73-3.95-20.55-8.99
Gross Margin25.0%25.0%10.6%33.2%26.5%
Operating Margin-198.5%-198.5%-257.7%-204.4%-303.0%
Net Margin-258.6%-258.6%-340.9%-483.5%-260.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.031.033.941.370.35
Current Ratio0.480.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-26.0M$-26.0M$-29.3M$-32.5M$-56.3M
Returns
ROE-162.4%-162.4%-277.9%-330.6%-36.7%
Valuation
P/B2.162.163.970.781.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.2%9.2%-38.3%43.1%—
EPS Growth81.5%81.5%80.8%-128.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.5%

Total return

-15.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.95 → -0.73

Residual

-15.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.