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OCE.JO$5968.00-0.20%
Fair $5968.00+0.0%

OCE.JO

Oceana Group Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsJohannesburg

$5968.00

-12.00 (-0.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5968.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $58.0M · quality 40.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · OCE.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Oceana Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.7B

P/E

10.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

442.6x

↑

ROE

8.7%

↑

Gross Margin

27.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.44

↑
52-Week Range$5968
$4800$6240

TradingView lightweight chart

OCE.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,968Periodo +1049.9%
Fair value: $5,968

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.1%

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.99B · net income $674.0M · FCF $106.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.8%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

12.7%-2.7% pts

Net margin

6.7%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

1.1%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.99B$9.99B$10.06B$9.99B$8.15B
Net Income$674.0M$674.0M$1.11B$1.33B$733.0M
EBITDA$1.62B$1.62B$1.98B$1.79B$1.53B
EPS5.625.629.1810.916.03
Gross Margin27.8%27.8%31.8%28.6%30.8%
Operating Margin12.7%12.7%16.0%14.1%15.3%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%11.0%13.3%9.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.440.440.470.340.47
Current Ratio1.941.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$106.0M$106.0M$-511.0M$58.0M$-143.0M
Returns
ROE8.7%8.7%14.6%17.0%10.8%
Valuation
P/E10.1310.13748.45683.55929.31
EV/EBITDA442.59442.59420.15506.21447.74
P/B92.8092.80109.31116.4899.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%0.7%22.6%—
EPS Growth-38.8%-38.8%-15.9%81.1%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

355.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$529.56

Spread vs growth

-393.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

157.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$640.77

Spread vs growth

-196.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

68.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1031.96

Spread vs growth

-107.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.7%

Total return

+5.7%

Start / end P/E

643.7x → 1062.1x

EPS bridge

9.18 → 5.62

Residual

-25.2%

EPS growth-38.8%
Multiple rerating+65.0%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.