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OCT.JO$1673.00-1.41%
Fair $1673.00+0.0%

OCT.JO

Octodec Investments Limited

Real Estate / REIT - DiversifiedJohannesburg

$1673.00

-24.00 (-1.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1673.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 34.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · OCT.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Octodec Investments Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.5B

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

484.3x

↑

ROE

7.5%

↑

Gross Margin

47.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.66

↓
52-Week Range$1673
$970$1899

TradingView lightweight chart

OCT.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,673Periodo +46.9%
Fair value: $1,673

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.7%

FCF CAGR

+4.5%

FCF margin

6.7%

FCF / Net income

0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.11B · net income $491.1M · FCF $141.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.9%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

40.2%-4.3% pts

Net margin

23.3%-8.8% pts

FCF margin

6.7%+0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.11B$2.11B$2.02B$1.93B$1.89B
Net Income$491.1M$491.1M$216.0M$610.5M$605.1M
EBITDA$928.3M$928.3M$678.2M$1.05B$1.01B
EPS1.841.840.812.292.27
Gross Margin47.9%47.9%48.2%49.4%50.8%
Operating Margin40.2%40.2%40.5%42.2%44.5%
Net Margin23.3%23.3%10.7%31.7%32.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.660.660.690.660.69
Current Ratio0.820.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$141.8M$141.8M$70.7M$73.6M$124.4M
Returns
ROE7.5%7.5%3.4%9.3%9.6%
Valuation
P/E8.378.371356.35400.78408.71
EV/EBITDA484.30484.30438.20238.15248.85
P/B67.7967.7945.6437.2939.12
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.5%4.5%4.6%2.1%—
EPS Growth127.5%127.5%-64.6%0.9%—
Dividend Yield7.6%7.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

331.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$148.45

Spread vs growth

-204.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

149.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$179.63

Spread vs growth

-22.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

65.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$289.29

Spread vs growth

61.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +70.7%

Total return

+70.7%

Start / end P/E

1265.1x → 906.8x

EPS bridge

0.81 → 1.84

Residual

-36.1%

EPS growth+127.5%
Multiple rerating-28.3%
Dividend+7.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.