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OCTAVIUSPL.BO$52.50+4.98%
Fair $52.50+0.0%

OCTAVIUSPL.BO

Octavius Plantations Limited

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsBSE

$52.50

+2.39 (+4.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $52.50Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 1/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.4M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · OCTAVIUSPL.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Octavius Plantations Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$158M

P/E

17.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.5x

↑

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

8.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$53
$37$66

TradingView lightweight chart

OCTAVIUSPL.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $50.38Periodo +52.7%
Fair value: $52.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-21.8%

FCF / Net income

-7.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $282.4M · net income $8.7M · FCF $-61.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.5%-26.8% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-10.7% pts

Net margin

3.1%-9.1% pts

FCF margin

-21.8%-24.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$282.4M$282.4M$242.7M$218.4M$177.1M
Net Income$8.7M$8.7M$17.8M$18.9M$21.6M
EBITDA$12.0M$12.0M$21.2M$28.2M$28.7M
EPS2.902.905.946.317.20
Gross Margin8.5%8.5%15.7%18.5%35.3%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%8.0%11.0%13.5%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%7.3%8.7%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.110.090.24
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-61.5M$-61.5M$-20.4M$23.2M$5.2M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%9.8%11.6%14.9%
Valuation
P/E17.3317.3311.627.089.42
EV/EBITDA19.4919.4910.444.748.14
P/B0.830.831.140.821.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.4%16.4%11.1%23.3%—
EPS Growth-51.2%-51.2%-5.9%-12.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.66

Spread vs growth

-68.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.64

Spread vs growth

-65.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.08

Spread vs growth

-63.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.7%

Total return

-23.7%

Start / end P/E

11.1x → 17.4x

EPS bridge

5.94 → 2.90

Residual

-28.9%

EPS growth-51.2%
Multiple rerating+56.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.