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ODL.WA$21.30+7.85%
Fair $21.30+0.0%

ODL.WA

Odlewnie Polskie S.A.

Industrials / Metal FabricationWarsaw

$21.30

+1.55 (+7.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.30Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-13.9M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ODL.WALocal privado en este navegador · Odlewnie Polskie S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$428M

P/E

15.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

↑

ROE

11.4%

↑

Gross Margin

15.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$21
$9$22

TradingView lightweight chart

ODL.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.30Periodo +1564.1%
Fair value: $21.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $236.5M · net income $18.1M · FCF $-13.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.2%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

9.8%-3.2% pts

Net margin

7.7%-3.0% pts

FCF margin

-5.9%-8.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$236.5M$236.5M$221.8M$266.4M$290.3M
Net Income$18.1M$18.1M$13.2M$34.9M$30.9M
EBITDA$32.6M$32.6M$27.9M$54.6M$47.6M
EPS0.900.900.661.741.54
Gross Margin15.2%15.2%14.6%21.0%18.1%
Operating Margin9.8%9.8%8.6%18.2%13.0%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%6.0%13.1%10.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.12——0.12
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.9M$-13.9M$-22.6M$36.9M$7.7M
Returns
ROE11.4%11.4%9.0%24.2%25.7%
Valuation
P/E15.1115.1112.305.635.10
EV/EBITDA12.8112.814.812.482.59
P/B2.692.691.111.361.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.6%6.6%-16.7%-8.2%—
EPS Growth36.4%36.4%-62.1%13.0%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.89

Spread vs growth

8.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.29

Spread vs growth

15.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.68

Spread vs growth

21.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +135.7%

Total return

+135.7%

Start / end P/E

13.8x → 23.7x

EPS bridge

0.66 → 0.90

Residual

+26.1%

EPS growth+36.4%
Multiple rerating+71.6%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.