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OPXS$11.72+3.17%
Fair $11.72+0.0%

OPXS

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc

Industrials / Aerospace & DefenseNasdaqCM

$11.72

+0.36 (+3.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.72Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 66/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $50000.00 · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

66/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 0unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · OPXSLocal privado en este navegador · Optex Systems Holdings, Inc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$82M

P/E

19.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

21.2%

↑

Gross Margin

29.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$12
$8$18

TradingView lightweight chart

OPXS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.72Periodo -80.8%
Fair value: $11.72

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

15.5%

FCF / Net income

1.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $41.3M · net income $5.1M · FCF $6.4M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.2%+25.4% pts

Operating margin

17.3%+60.2% pts

Net margin

12.5%+54.4% pts

FCF margin

15.5%+19.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$41.3M$41.3M$34.0M$25.7M$22.4M$18.2M$25.9M$24.5M$20.9M$18.5M$17.3M$13.0M$10.2M$17.1M$14.3M$16.2M$22.9M
Net Income$5.1M$5.1M$3.8M$2.3M$1.3M$2.1M$1.8M$5.7M$1.4M$-304000.00$-208000.00$491000.00$-2.1M$137000.00$-367000.00$591000.00$-9.6M
EBITDA$7.6M$7.6M$5.3M$3.1M$2.0M$-231000.00$3.1M$3.5M$1.8M$541000.00$-566000.00$-1.1M$-897000.00$328000.00$-135000.00$144000.00$-8.7M
EPS0.740.740.550.340.160.180.140.450.11-0.06——-12.500.20-1.80——
Gross Margin29.2%29.2%28.0%25.8%21.9%13.8%23.5%25.5%21.7%18.4%17.7%10.7%13.7%18.8%16.9%15.3%3.8%
Operating Margin17.3%17.3%14.2%10.9%7.4%-2.7%11.1%13.0%7.1%1.1%-5.3%-11.1%-9.6%1.5%-2.1%0.5%-43.0%
Net Margin12.5%12.5%11.1%8.8%5.7%11.7%7.0%23.1%6.7%-1.6%-1.2%3.8%-20.2%0.8%-2.6%3.6%-42.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.180.260.27————————————
Current Ratio7.287.28———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.4M$6.4M$50000.00$-672000.00$1.8M$207000.00$3.8M$17000.00$872000.00$-133000.00$-573000.00———$752000.00$1.1M$-992000.00
Returns
ROE21.2%21.2%20.0%15.2%10.3%13.6%13.1%46.4%22.0%-5.1%-2.9%6.0%-35.0%1.7%-4.8%7.7%-136.8%
Valuation
P/E19.8619.8614.5210.7614.81————————————
EV/EBITDA10.0210.0210.738.6411.21————————————
P/B3.343.342.901.641.57————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.6%21.6%32.5%14.6%—-29.6%5.5%17.6%12.4%7.3%32.9%27.4%-40.2%19.8%-12.2%-29.1%—
EPS Growth34.5%34.5%61.8%112.5%—28.6%-68.9%309.1%283.3%———-6350.0%111.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.04

Spread vs growth

22.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

23.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.03

Spread vs growth

23.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +37.4%

Total return

+37.4%

Start / end P/E

15.5x → 15.8x

EPS bridge

0.55 → 0.74

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth+34.5%
Multiple rerating+2.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.