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ORA.AX$1.28-1.53%
Fair $1.28+0.0%

ORA.AX

Orora Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersASX

$1.28

-0.02 (-1.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.28Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $106.1M · quality 70.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ORA.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Orora Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

33.6%

↑

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.23

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

ORA.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.285Periodo -8.3%
Fair value: $1.285

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-20.1%

FCF CAGR

-13.8%

FCF margin

5.1%

FCF / Net income

0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.09B · net income $973.1M · FCF $106.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.1%+4.2% pts

Operating margin

4.2%+0.2% pts

Net margin

46.6%+42.0% pts

FCF margin

5.1%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.09B$2.09B$4.70B$4.29B$4.09B
Net Income$973.1M$973.1M$185.2M$184.8M$184.7M
EBITDA$299.5M$299.5M$565.7M$403.2M$394.2M
EPS0.730.730.150.200.20
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%19.5%18.6%18.9%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%3.1%3.8%4.0%
Net Margin46.6%46.6%3.9%4.3%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.231.161.321.24
Current Ratio1.541.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$106.1M$106.1M$126.8M$60.6M$165.4M
Returns
ROE33.6%33.6%8.9%23.1%25.2%
Valuation
P/E12.8512.8513.3715.0215.71
EV/EBITDA7.057.058.169.379.52
P/B0.590.591.183.473.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-55.5%-55.5%9.5%4.9%—
EPS Growth395.9%395.9%-27.5%2.4%—
Dividend Yield7.8%7.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-46.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

442.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-28.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.14

Spread vs growth

424.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

407.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.9%

Total return

-23.9%

Start / end P/E

12.8x → 1.8x

EPS bridge

0.15 → 0.73

Residual

-341.4%

EPS growth+395.9%
Multiple rerating-86.2%
Dividend+7.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-341.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.