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ORIO$0.93-1.06%
Fair $0.93+0.0%

ORIO

Orion Digital Corp.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureNasdaqCM

$0.93

-0.01 (-1.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.93Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.5M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -11.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ORIOLocal privado en este navegador · Orion Digital Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

16.5x

↑

ROE

-11.8%

↓

Gross Margin

69.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.17

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

ORIO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.930Periodo -89.9%
Fair value: $0.930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.3%

FCF / Net income

0.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $68.6M · net income $-8.5M · FCF $-3.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.6%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

-3.9%+44.7% pts

Net margin

-12.4%+227.9% pts

FCF margin

-5.3%+45.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$68.6M$68.6M$71.2M$65.2M$68.9M
Net Income$-8.5M$-8.5M$-13.7M$-17.9M$-165.7M
EBITDA$5.4M$5.4M$1.8M$-2.2M$-147.5M
EPS-0.35-0.35-0.56-0.72-2.17
Gross Margin69.6%69.6%65.6%71.5%67.1%
Operating Margin-3.9%-3.9%-5.2%-5.9%-48.6%
Net Margin-12.4%-12.4%-19.2%-27.4%-240.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.171.171.050.950.79
Current Ratio5.825.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.6M$-3.6M$-4.5M$-12.6M$-34.9M
Returns
ROE-11.8%-11.8%-16.8%-19.1%-149.4%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA16.5416.5461.03——
P/B0.310.310.390.500.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.6%-3.6%9.2%-5.4%—
EPS Growth37.5%37.5%22.2%66.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -34.0%

Total return

-34.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.56 → -0.35

Residual

-34.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.