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v0.1
ORX.ST$19.64-2.29%
Fair $19.64+0.0%

ORX.ST

Orexo AB (publ)

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericStockholm

$19.64

-0.46 (-2.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.64Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-195.4M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ORX.STLocal privado en este navegador · Orexo AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$690M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

130.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.00

↑
52-Week Range$20
$14$43

TradingView lightweight chart

ORX.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.64Periodo -78.2%
Fair value: $19.64

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-65.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-751.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.0M · net income $639.3M · FCF $-195.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.2%-39.3% pts

Operating margin

-1310.0%-1275.7% pts

Net margin

2458.8%+2487.3% pts

FCF margin

-751.5%-722.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.0M$26.0M$29.7M$638.8M$624.3M
Net Income$639.3M$639.3M$-203.0M$-128.3M$-177.6M
EBITDA$-285.7M$-285.7M$-252.4M$-22.0M$-73.9M
EPS-11.65-11.65-13.86-3.73-5.17
Gross Margin44.2%44.2%37.0%86.1%83.6%
Operating Margin-1310.0%-1310.0%-1457.9%-17.0%-34.3%
Net Margin2458.8%2458.8%-683.5%-20.1%-28.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.001.00-3.778.042.78
Current Ratio2.022.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-195.4M$-195.4M$-331.2M$-114.2M$-180.5M
Returns
ROE130.3%130.3%160.7%-217.8%-91.6%
Valuation
P/B1.581.58—8.953.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.5%-12.5%-95.4%2.3%—
EPS Growth15.9%15.9%-271.6%27.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.4%

Total return

+33.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-13.86 → -11.65

Residual

+33.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+33.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.