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OSP-R.BK$15.30+0.00%
Fair $15.30+0.0%

OSP-R.BK

Osotspa Public Company Limited

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicThailand

$15.30

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.30Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.6B · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 43/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · OSP-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Osotspa Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$46.0B

P/E

12.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

21.7%

↑

Gross Margin

40.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$15
$14$20

TradingView lightweight chart

OSP-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.22Periodo -49.7%
Fair value: $15.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

+92.8%

FCF margin

22.8%

FCF / Net income

1.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.56B · net income $3.67B · FCF $5.83B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.1%+9.5% pts

Operating margin

15.1%+8.0% pts

Net margin

14.3%+7.3% pts

FCF margin

22.8%+19.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$25.56B$25.56B$27.07B$26.06B$27.27B
Net Income$3.67B$3.67B$1.64B$2.40B$1.93B
EBITDA$6.00B$6.00B$3.76B$4.51B$3.98B
EPS1.221.220.550.800.64
Gross Margin40.1%40.1%37.3%34.5%30.6%
Operating Margin15.1%15.1%11.9%8.8%7.1%
Net Margin14.3%14.3%6.1%9.2%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.170.160.10
Current Ratio1.841.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.83B$5.83B$2.55B$675.6M$812.9M
Returns
ROE21.7%21.7%10.6%14.7%10.5%
Valuation
P/E12.8612.8638.6735.2043.85
EV/EBITDA7.227.2216.9619.0521.51
P/B2.732.734.095.184.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.6%-5.6%3.9%-4.4%—
EPS Growth121.8%121.8%-31.3%25.0%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.36

Spread vs growth

118.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.64

Spread vs growth

115.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.65

Spread vs growth

113.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.2%

Total return

+2.2%

Start / end P/E

26.8x → 11.7x

EPS bridge

0.55 → 1.22

Residual

-68.8%

EPS growth+121.8%
Multiple rerating-56.5%
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-68.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.