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OXY$59.34+0.71%
Fair $59.34+0.0%

OXY

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PNYSE

$59.34

+0.42 (+0.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $59.34Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.2B · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 1unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · OXYLocal privado en este navegador · Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$59.0B

P/E

80.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.9x

↓

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

34.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.65

↑
52-Week Range$59
$39$67

TradingView lightweight chart

OXY price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $59.34Periodo +495.2%
Fair value: $59.34

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.8%

FCF CAGR

+1.0%

FCF margin

19.0%

FCF / Net income

1.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.59B · net income $2.33B · FCF $4.11B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.9%— pts

Operating margin

17.2%— pts

Net margin

10.8%-18.0% pts

FCF margin

19.0%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$21.59B$21.59B$22.02B$23.16B$36.63B$25.96B$17.13B$19.19B$15.56B$12.51B$10.09B$12.48B$19.31B$20.17B$20.10B$23.94B$19.05B$14.81B$23.71B$18.78B
Net Income$2.33B$2.33B$3.06B$4.70B$13.30B$2.32B$-14.83B$-985.0M$4.13B$1.31B$-574.0M$-7.83B$616.0M$5.90B$4.60B$6.77B$4.53B$2.92B$6.86B$5.40B
EBITDA$11.66B$11.66B$11.38B$11.64B$22.07B———————————————
EPS1.611.612.443.9012.401.58-17.06-1.225.391.70-0.75-10.230.797.325.667.975.333.437.996.15
Gross Margin34.9%34.9%37.7%36.4%48.2%———————————————
Operating Margin17.2%17.2%21.3%20.5%37.3%———————————————
Net Margin10.8%10.8%13.9%20.3%36.3%8.9%-86.6%-5.1%26.5%10.5%-5.7%-62.7%3.2%29.3%22.9%28.3%23.8%19.7%28.9%28.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.650.650.790.690.691.431.921.130.48-36.16——0.200.160.180.160.160.09——
Current Ratio1.211.21——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.11B$4.11B$5.18B$6.61B$12.31B$7.56B$1.42B$1.01B$2.69B$1.26B$667.0M$-1.92B$2.14B$5.42B$3.42B$4.76B$5.63B$2.70B$6.53B$3.44B
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%8.9%15.5%44.2%11.4%-79.9%-2.9%19.4%-508.1%——1.8%13.7%11.5%18.0%13.9%10.0%——
Valuation
P/E80.1980.1920.7015.115.14———————————————
EV/EBITDA6.926.926.476.543.79———————————————
P/B1.651.651.431.872.12———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.9%-1.9%-4.9%-36.8%—51.5%-10.7%23.3%24.4%24.0%-19.2%-35.4%-4.3%0.3%-16.0%25.7%28.6%-37.5%26.2%—
EPS Growth-34.0%-34.0%-37.4%-68.5%—109.3%-1298.4%-122.6%217.1%326.7%92.7%-1394.9%-89.2%29.3%-29.0%49.6%55.3%-57.1%29.9%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.27

Spread vs growth

-82.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.37

Spread vs growth

-65.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.26

Spread vs growth

-54.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +45.0%

Total return

+45.0%

Start / end P/E

17.0x → 36.9x

EPS bridge

2.44 → 1.61

Residual

-39.8%

EPS growth-34.0%
Multiple rerating+117.0%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-39.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.