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OZSUB.IS$30.10+4.22%
Fair $30.10+0.0%

OZSUB.IS

Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsIstanbul

$30.10

+1.22 (+4.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.10Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-151.3M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · OZSUB.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.6B

P/E

9.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

28.5%

↑

Gross Margin

26.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.50

↑
52-Week Range$30
$17$31

TradingView lightweight chart

OZSUB.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.10Periodo +612.4%
Fair value: $30.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.9%

FCF CAGR

+80.2%

FCF margin

19.7%

FCF / Net income

1.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.96B · net income $294.0M · FCF $583.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.2%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

16.4%+1.8% pts

Net margin

9.9%+6.4% pts

FCF margin

19.7%+13.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.96B$2.96B$3.37B$2.19B$1.49B
Net Income$294.0M$294.0M$-148.4M$-10.8M$52.9M
EBITDA$909.8M$909.8M$49.2M$68.3M$160.9M
EPS2.942.94-1.22-0.090.57
Gross Margin26.2%26.2%13.4%15.9%21.9%
Operating Margin16.4%16.4%1.6%6.6%14.7%
Net Margin9.9%9.9%-4.4%-0.5%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.501.501.470.460.28
Current Ratio1.051.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$583.3M$583.3M$-534.2M$-151.3M$99.7M
Returns
ROE28.5%28.5%-18.7%-1.4%9.5%
Valuation
P/E9.019.01——13.42
EV/EBITDA4.304.3061.0827.034.61
P/B2.982.982.351.991.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.0%-12.0%53.9%47.2%—
EPS Growth341.0%341.0%-1250.1%-115.7%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.67

Spread vs growth

344.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.23

Spread vs growth

339.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.20

Spread vs growth

335.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.9%

Total return

+25.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.22 → 2.94

Residual

+23.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.