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PBL.TO$16.29-0.73%
Fair $16.29+0.0%

PBL.TO

Pollard Banknote Limited

Consumer Cyclical / GamblingToronto

$16.29

-0.12 (-0.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.29Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.8M · quality 77.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Book/ROE model only applies to financial balance-sheet businesses.
Thesis & Journal · PBL.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Pollard Banknote Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$441M

P/E

17.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

↓

ROE

9.3%

↑

Gross Margin

16.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.46

↑
52-Week Range$16
$16$24

TradingView lightweight chart

PBL.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.29Periodo +103.9%
Fair value: $16.29

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.2%

FCF CAGR

+5.7%

FCF margin

4.2%

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $596.0M · net income $34.7M · FCF $24.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.7%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

0.1%-3.2% pts

Net margin

5.8%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

4.2%-0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$596.0M$596.0M$557.1M$520.4M$483.7M
Net Income$34.7M$34.7M$35.2M$31.4M$19.3M
EBITDA$112.5M$112.5M$106.7M$93.0M$71.5M
EPS1.261.261.281.150.71
Gross Margin16.7%16.7%18.8%16.6%17.2%
Operating Margin0.1%0.1%3.1%1.5%3.3%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%6.3%6.0%4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.500.500.54
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$24.8M$24.8M$19.9M$26.5M$21.0M
Returns
ROE9.3%9.3%10.5%11.4%7.7%
Valuation
P/E16.9716.9719.0329.1726.23
EV/EBITDA5.275.277.6511.278.97
P/B1.201.202.003.352.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%7.0%7.6%—
EPS Growth-1.6%-1.6%11.3%62.0%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.45

Spread vs growth

-6.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.75

Spread vs growth

-8.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.82

Spread vs growth

-9.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.4%

Total return

-19.4%

Start / end P/E

16.0x → 12.9x

EPS bridge

1.28 → 1.26

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth-1.6%
Multiple rerating-19.4%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.