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PBYI$7.12-0.70%
Fair $7.12+0.0%

PBYI

Puma Biotechnology, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGS

$7.12

-0.05 (-0.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.12Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $38.9M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 15Warnings: 1unknown: 15
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · PBYILocal privado en este navegador · Puma Biotechnology, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$362M

P/E

14.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

23.9%

↑

Gross Margin

74.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$7
$3$8

TradingView lightweight chart

PBYI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.120Periodo -49.1%
Fair value: $7.120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2011–2025 · 14 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

18.3%

FCF / Net income

1.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $228.4M · net income $31.1M · FCF $41.7M

2011-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

74.5%— pts

Operating margin

16.3%— pts

Net margin

13.6%— pts

FCF margin

18.3%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Income Statement
Revenue$228.4M$228.4M$230.5M$235.6M$228.0M$253.2M$225.1M$272.3M$251.0M$27.7M——————
Net Income$31.1M$31.1M$30.3M$21.6M$2000.00$-29.1M$-60.0M$-75.6M$-113.6M$-292.0M$-276.0M$-239.3M$-142.0M$-54.7M$-74.4M$-10.2M
EBITDA$53.3M$53.3M$48.1M$47.5M$21.9M$12.6M$-20.4M$-31.0M$-87.3M$-289.6M$-275.4M$-239.5M$-141.6M$-54.4M$-74.2M$-10.1M
EPS0.610.610.620.45—-0.72-1.52-75595.00————————
Gross Margin74.5%74.5%72.1%73.4%75.8%———————————
Operating Margin16.3%16.3%13.4%13.9%13.5%0.5%-13.5%-14.3%-37.7%-1056.1%——————
Net Margin13.6%13.6%13.1%9.2%0.0%-11.5%-26.7%-27.8%-45.3%-1054.6%——————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.802.095.29-39.69-14.125.444.430.91——————
Current Ratio2.382.38——————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$41.7M$41.7M$38.9M$14.4M$-22.8M$20.6M$727000.00$22.1M$-24.5M$-172.9M$-146.0M——$-101.5M—$-2.1M
Returns
ROE23.9%23.9%32.9%40.4%0.0%1190.8%1008.1%-432.9%-331.1%-547.7%-131.5%-116.2%-121.3%-65.1%-57.7%-18.8%
Valuation
P/E14.8314.834.7610.42————————————
EV/EBITDA6.746.743.115.2611.63———————————
P/B2.772.771.574.1710.02———————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.9%-0.9%-2.2%3.3%—12.5%-17.3%8.5%806.6%———————
EPS Growth-1.6%-1.6%37.8%——52.6%100.0%—————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.63

Spread vs growth

-2.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.76

Spread vs growth

-6.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.23

Spread vs growth

-8.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +117.1%

Total return

+117.1%

Start / end P/E

5.3x → 11.7x

EPS bridge

0.62 → 0.61

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growth-1.6%
Multiple rerating+120.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.