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PGW.NZ$2.06+0.00%
Fair $2.06+0.0%

PGW.NZ

PGG Wrightson Limited

Industrials / ConglomeratesNZSE

$2.06

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.06Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.3M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · PGW.NZLocal privado en este navegador · PGG Wrightson Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$155M

P/E

12.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

6.1%

↑

Gross Margin

16.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

PGW.NZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.050Periodo -51.8%
Fair value: $2.060

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $864.9M · net income $10.7M · FCF $-5.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.7%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

-10.0%-1.3% pts

Net margin

1.2%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%-2.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$864.9M$864.9M$829.7M$879.1M$841.0M
Net Income$10.7M$10.7M$3.1M$17.5M$24.3M
EBITDA$52.3M$52.3M$41.3M$57.7M$62.6M
EPS0.140.140.040.230.32
Gross Margin16.7%16.7%18.0%17.8%16.3%
Operating Margin-10.0%-10.0%-8.6%-7.3%-8.7%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%0.4%2.0%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.010.970.940.78
Current Ratio1.761.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.0M$-5.0M$34.9M$8.3M$14.9M
Returns
ROE6.1%6.1%1.9%10.3%14.1%
Valuation
P/E12.8812.8847.8017.9714.13
EV/EBITDA6.286.287.358.127.55
P/B0.890.890.901.861.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.2%4.2%-5.6%4.5%—
EPS Growth243.9%243.9%-82.3%-28.0%—
Dividend Yield6.1%6.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

234.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

234.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.36

Spread vs growth

234.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.7%

Total return

+10.7%

Start / end P/E

47.8x → 14.5x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.14

Residual

-169.7%

EPS growth+243.9%
Multiple rerating-69.6%
Dividend+6.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-169.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.