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PIA.MI$1.72+1.74%
Fair $1.72+0.0%

PIA.MI

Piaggio & C. SpA

Consumer Cyclical / Auto ManufacturersMilan

$1.72

+0.03 (+1.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.72Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.1M · quality 27.3/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · PIA.MILocal privado en este navegador · Piaggio & C. SpA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$606M

P/E

19.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.76

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

PIA.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.750Periodo -28.9%
Fair value: $1.720

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.50B · net income $34.0M · FCF $-8.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.1%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

6.5%-1.3% pts

Net margin

2.3%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-4.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.50B$1.50B$1.70B$1.99B$2.09B
Net Income$34.0M$34.0M$67.2M$91.1M$84.9M
EBITDA$247.8M$247.8M$285.1M$321.7M$289.8M
EPS0.100.100.190.260.24
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%22.6%22.7%21.1%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%8.6%9.0%7.8%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%4.0%4.6%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.761.761.631.491.46
Current Ratio0.790.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.1M$-8.1M$-38.6M$22.3M$87.8M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%16.1%21.9%20.3%
Valuation
P/E19.4419.4411.2811.4212.44
EV/EBITDA4.834.834.534.604.92
P/B1.561.561.812.502.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.7%-11.7%-14.3%-4.9%—
EPS Growth-49.5%-49.5%-26.1%7.5%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

16.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.15

Spread vs growth

-66.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

-63.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.30

Spread vs growth

-61.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.2%

Total return

+2.2%

Start / end P/E

9.4x → 18.2x

EPS bridge

0.19 → 0.10

Residual

-46.0%

EPS growth-49.5%
Multiple rerating+93.1%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-46.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.