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PICO.JK$142.00+1.43%
Fair $142.00+0.0%

PICO.JK

PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersJakarta

$142.00

+2.00 (+1.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $142.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $69.0B · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · PICO.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$80.7B

P/E

53.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.0x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

12.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$142
$104$440

TradingView lightweight chart

PICO.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $142.00Periodo +23.5%
Fair value: $142.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.4%

FCF / Net income

-6.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $582.29B · net income $4.99B · FCF $-31.58B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.4%+1.3% pts

Operating margin

1.9%-0.6% pts

Net margin

0.9%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.4%-2.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$582.29B$582.29B$600.29B$547.82B$549.57B
Net Income$4.99B$4.99B$2.77B$5.66B$8.90B
EBITDA$17.83B$17.83B$30.92B$16.02B$21.68B
EPS2.202.201.222.4916.46
Gross Margin12.4%12.4%11.1%9.6%11.1%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%3.6%2.0%2.5%
Net Margin0.9%0.9%0.5%1.0%1.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.630.560.59
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-31.58B$-31.58B$68.95B$275.92B$-17.14B
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%1.3%2.8%4.5%
Valuation
P/E53.3853.38104.1051.4113.61
EV/EBITDA23.9823.9813.5425.0410.59
P/B1.541.541.391.420.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%9.6%-0.3%—
EPS Growth80.3%80.3%-51.0%-84.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

78.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.60

Spread vs growth

1.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

47.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.25

Spread vs growth

33.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$24.55

Spread vs growth

53.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +32.7%

Total return

+32.7%

Start / end P/E

87.7x → 64.5x

EPS bridge

1.22 → 2.20

Residual

-21.2%

EPS growth+80.3%
Multiple rerating-26.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.