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Financial Analysis

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PKG$223.61+0.00%
Fair $223.61+0.0%

PKG

Packaging Corporation of America

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersNYSE

$223.61

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $223.61Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $728.6M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 1unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · PKGLocal privado en este navegador · Packaging Corporation of America
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

16.8%

↑

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.86

↑
No hay histórico de precio usable para pintar el gráfico TradingView.

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

+10.4%

FCF margin

8.1%

FCF / Net income

0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.99B · net income $774.1M · FCF $728.6M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

12.3%+2.1% pts

Net margin

8.6%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

8.1%+2.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$8.99B$8.99B$8.38B$7.80B$8.48B$7.73B$6.66B$6.96B$7.01B$6.44B$5.78B$5.74B$5.85B$3.67B$2.84B$2.62B$2.44B$2.15B$2.36B
Net Income$774.1M$774.1M$805.1M$765.2M$1.03B$841.1M$461.0M$696.4M$738.0M$668.6M$449.6M$436.8M$392.6M$441.3M$160.2M$158.0M$205.4M$265.9M$135.6M
EBITDA$1.76B$1.76B$1.63B$1.59B$1.88B$1.66B$1.13B$1.44B$1.48B$1.32B$1.14B$1.11B$1.08B$683.7M$608.4M$436.3M$341.7M$503.7M$389.6M
EPS8.588.588.938.4811.038.834.847.347.807.074.754.473.994.521.641.572.002.601.31
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%21.3%21.8%24.7%24.2%20.6%23.6%23.5%22.8%22.1%21.0%21.0%23.7%22.3%20.7%21.9%19.9%20.8%
Operating Margin12.3%12.3%13.1%13.8%16.8%16.1%10.9%15.1%15.2%14.5%13.6%13.1%12.0%13.1%15.4%10.4%7.6%16.4%10.2%
Net Margin8.6%8.6%9.6%9.8%12.1%10.9%6.9%10.0%10.5%10.4%7.8%7.6%6.7%12.0%5.6%6.0%8.4%12.4%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.860.860.560.620.670.690.760.810.931.141.491.401.541.850.770.820.540.61—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$728.6M$728.6M$521.5M$845.4M$670.8M$489.0M$611.6M$807.9M$628.7M$513.1M$532.6M$454.1M$315.9M$373.8M$275.7M$65.3M$29.7M$191.9M$136.3M
Returns
ROE16.8%16.8%18.3%19.1%28.1%23.3%14.2%22.7%27.6%30.6%25.5%26.7%25.8%32.5%15.9%16.3%20.4%29.6%19.8%
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.2%7.2%7.4%-8.0%9.7%16.1%-4.4%-0.7%8.8%11.5%0.6%-1.9%59.7%28.9%8.5%7.6%13.4%-9.0%—
EPS Growth-3.9%-3.9%5.3%-23.1%24.9%82.4%-34.1%-5.9%10.3%48.8%6.3%12.0%-11.7%175.6%4.5%-21.5%-23.1%98.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

32.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$19.84

Spread vs growth

-36.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$24.01

Spread vs growth

-26.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$38.67

Spread vs growth

-20.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total n/d
Return attribution requires positive start and end prices.

Unavailable: positive start/end prices are required.