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POOL$182.07+0.37%
Fair $182.07+0.0%

POOL

Pool Corporation

Industrials / Industrial DistributionNasdaqGS

$182.07

+0.67 (+0.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $182.07Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $599.7M · quality 54.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 2unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · POOLLocal privado en este navegador · Pool Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.6B

P/E

16.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

13.0x

↑

ROE

34.3%

↑

Gross Margin

29.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.30

↑
52-Week Range$182
$173$345

TradingView lightweight chart

POOL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $182.07Periodo +3403.0%
Fair value: $182.07

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.6%

FCF CAGR

+7.8%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.29B · net income $406.4M · FCF $309.5M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.7%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

11.0%+4.5% pts

Net margin

7.7%+4.5% pts

FCF margin

5.9%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$5.29B$5.29B$5.31B$5.54B$6.18B$5.30B$3.94B$3.20B$3.00B$2.79B$2.57B$2.36B$2.25B$2.08B$1.95B$1.79B$1.61B$1.54B$1.78B
Net Income$406.4M$406.4M$434.3M$523.2M$748.5M$650.6M$366.7M$261.6M$234.5M$191.6M$149.0M$128.3M$110.7M$97.3M$82.0M$72.0M$57.6M$19.2M$57.0M
EBITDA$631.8M$631.8M$662.7M$786.7M$1.06B——————————————
EPS10.8510.8511.3013.3518.7015.978.976.405.624.513.472.902.442.051.711.471.150.391.17
Gross Margin29.7%29.7%29.7%30.0%31.3%30.5%28.7%28.9%29.0%28.9%28.8%28.6%28.6%28.4%29.0%29.6%29.2%29.2%28.9%
Operating Margin11.0%11.0%11.6%13.5%16.6%15.7%11.8%10.7%10.5%10.2%10.0%9.1%8.4%8.0%7.4%7.0%6.3%5.7%6.5%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%8.2%9.4%12.1%12.3%9.3%8.2%7.8%6.9%5.8%5.4%4.9%4.7%4.2%4.0%3.6%1.2%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.301.301.001.041.341.090.631.222.942.282.131.281.310.860.820.880.700.80—
Current Ratio1.871.87—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$309.5M$309.5M$599.7M$828.1M$441.2M$275.8M$375.9M$265.4M$87.1M$135.9M$131.0M$117.0M$104.5M$86.3M$102.8M$55.6M$85.9M$106.1M$86.3M
Returns
ROE34.3%34.3%34.1%39.9%60.6%60.7%57.4%63.8%104.9%85.9%72.6%50.2%45.3%34.0%29.1%25.7%20.2%7.6%23.6%
Valuation
P/E16.7216.7229.8528.2916.86——————————————
EV/EBITDA13.0113.0121.2620.3713.30——————————————
P/B5.735.7310.1211.2210.16——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.4%-0.4%-4.2%-10.3%—34.5%23.0%6.7%7.5%8.5%8.8%5.2%8.0%6.4%9.0%11.1%4.8%-13.7%—
EPS Growth-4.0%-4.0%-15.4%-28.6%—78.0%40.2%13.9%24.6%30.0%19.7%18.9%19.0%19.9%16.3%27.8%194.9%-66.7%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$16.16

Spread vs growth

-18.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$19.55

Spread vs growth

-16.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$31.48

Spread vs growth

-15.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.6%

Total return

-36.6%

Start / end P/E

26.6x → 16.8x

EPS bridge

11.30 → 10.85

Residual

+1.5%

EPS growth-4.0%
Multiple rerating-36.9%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.