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QUAD$7.48+0.40%
Fair $7.48+0.0%

QUAD

Quad/Graphics, Inc.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesNYSE

$7.48

+0.03 (+0.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.48Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 6/9
High DebtDeclining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $55.7M · quality 54.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.45, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · QUADLocal privado en este navegador · Quad/Graphics, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$386M

P/E

12.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

21.0%

↑

Gross Margin

21.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.45

↑
52-Week Range$7
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

QUAD price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.480Periodo -84.4%
Fair value: $7.480

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.9%

FCF CAGR

-6.7%

FCF margin

2.1%

FCF / Net income

1.88x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.42B · net income $27.0M · FCF $50.7M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%— pts

Operating margin

4.9%-1.4% pts

Net margin

1.1%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

2.1%-6.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$2.42B$2.42B$2.67B$2.96B$3.22B$2.96B$2.93B$3.92B$3.99B$3.95B$4.33B$4.60B$4.78B$4.80B$4.09B$4.32B$3.19B$1.79B
Net Income$27.0M$27.0M$-50.9M$-55.4M$9.3M$37.8M$-128.3M$-156.3M$8.5M$107.2M$44.9M$-641.9M$18.6M$32.5M$87.4M$-46.9M$-250.1M$52.8M
EBITDA$161.6M$161.6M$122.5M$156.2M$207.4M—————————————
EPS0.540.54-1.07-1.140.180.71-2.53-3.120.162.070.90-13.400.380.651.78-1.00-6.671.81
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%21.7%19.5%18.6%—————————————
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%4.5%3.5%3.1%3.1%-1.6%0.9%2.2%4.4%2.7%-18.1%3.0%3.0%2.6%3.6%1.9%6.3%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%-1.9%-1.9%0.3%1.3%-4.4%-4.0%0.2%2.7%1.0%-14.0%0.4%0.7%2.1%-1.1%-7.9%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.453.459.315.233.964.0610.734.671.991.732.31—1.130.980.981.030.96—
Current Ratio0.940.94————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$50.7M$50.7M$55.7M$76.8M$94.3M$86.5M$129.2M$44.5M$164.3M$258.1M$247.5M$215.1M$154.0M$291.6M$250.7M$202.8M$40.2M$154.6M
Returns
ROE21.0%21.0%-102.0%-46.4%5.4%27.6%-152.6%-69.0%1.9%20.5%10.2%—1.6%2.5%7.1%-3.6%-16.9%—
Valuation
P/E12.9012.90——25.22—————————————
EV/EBITDA4.674.676.175.294.33—————————————
P/B2.902.906.412.121.38—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.4%-9.4%-9.7%-8.1%—1.1%-25.3%-1.6%0.9%-8.7%-5.8%-3.8%-0.4%17.1%-5.3%35.7%78.1%—
EPS Growth150.5%150.5%6.1%-733.3%—128.1%18.9%-2050.0%-92.3%130.0%106.7%-3626.3%-41.5%-63.5%278.0%85.0%-468.5%—
Dividend Yield5.3%5.3%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

7.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

143.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

8.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

142.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

141.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.7%

Total return

+33.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.07 → 0.54

Residual

+28.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.