StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
RAIL$7.64+0.53%
Fair $50.80+564.9%

RAIL

FreightCar America, Inc.

Industrials / RailroadsNasdaqGS

$7.64

+0.04 (+0.53%)

Significantly Undervalued+564.9%Fair Value $50.80Fund rank 73/100 · Buy candidateSEC 17/17 yrs|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

$27.59

+53.4% CAGR · yield 9.8%

FCF base 5Y

$38.42

+38.1% base · +50.6% expected

Precio de entrada

$15.68

MOS 28% · confianza 45%

FCF escenarios

modelled · normalized FCF $31.4M · quality 38.0/100

Buy candidate 73/100
Bear 5Y$17.37+17.9%
Base 5Y$38.42+38.1%
Bull 5Y$142.67+79.6%
Return 100/100Downside 100/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 68/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

100/100

+564.9% upside

5Y CAGR

+50.6%

100/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 17Warnings: 1sec-companyfacts: 17
ROE is -35.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · RAILLocal privado en este navegador · FreightCar America, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$146M

P/E

7.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

26.8x

↑

ROE

-35.5%

↓

Gross Margin

14.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.00

↑
52-Week Range$8
$7$15
EV/EBITDA vs Sector26.8x

TradingView lightweight chart

RAIL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.640Periodo -63.7%
Buy zone: $15.68Bear 5Y: $17.37Fair value: $50.80Base 5Y: $38.42Bull 5Y: $142.67

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.5%

FCF CAGR

+3.3%

FCF margin

6.3%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $500.7M · net income $38.1M · FCF $31.4M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.6%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

6.8%+4.5% pts

Net margin

7.6%+5.6% pts

FCF margin

6.3%-1.2% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$500.7M$500.7M$557.7M$356.8M$361.5M$199.8M$104.1M$223.5M$310.6M$407.2M$523.7M$772.9M$598.5M$290.4M$677.4M$487.0M$142.9M$248.5M
Net Income$38.1M$38.1M$-75.8M$-23.6M$-38.8M$-41.4M$-84.4M$-75.2M$-40.6M$-22.6M$12.3M$31.8M$5.9M$-19.3M$19.1M$4.9M$-12.8M$4.9M
EBITDA$12.9M$12.9M$-57.4M$-2.5M$-7.0M$-18.5M$-71.4M$-63.2M$-20.1M$-22.4M$25.6M$56.8M$19.6M$-14.0M$41.6M$14.3M$-14.5M$11.4M
EPS1.091.09-3.12-1.18-1.56-2.00-6.29-5.95-3.26-1.821.002.580.49-1.611.600.41-1.070.42
Gross Margin14.6%14.6%12.0%11.7%7.1%5.7%-13.0%-6.4%-1.2%0.7%7.7%10.7%7.1%4.6%9.6%6.6%1.9%14.7%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%6.7%2.9%-4.2%-11.4%-77.5%-33.8%-10.3%-7.8%3.0%6.1%1.6%-8.3%4.9%1.1%-15.0%2.3%
Net Margin7.6%7.6%-13.6%-6.6%-10.7%-20.7%-81.2%-33.6%-13.1%-5.5%2.4%4.1%1.0%-6.6%2.8%1.0%-8.9%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.001.000.720.643.2348.001.810.09——————————
Current Ratio1.811.81————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$31.4M$31.4M$39.9M$-8.0M$3.7M$-57.7M$-68.8M$-24.6M$-33.8M$39.4M$-13.6M$-82.4M$-17.8M$14.9M$43.9M$28.1M$-43.5M$18.5M
Returns
ROE-35.5%-35.5%50.5%51.1%135.9%-2502.8%-276.9%-64.1%-21.0%-9.7%4.8%13.5%3.0%-9.5%9.0%2.5%-6.6%2.4%
Valuation
P/E7.037.03————————7.662.9715.63—4.7918.68—18.24
EV/EBITDA26.8426.84————————————————
P/B——————3.370.810.490.410.370.400.470.450.430.460.470.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.2%-10.2%56.3%-1.3%80.9%92.0%-53.4%-28.0%-23.7%-22.3%-32.2%29.1%106.1%-57.1%39.1%240.8%-42.5%—
EPS Growth134.9%134.9%-164.4%24.4%22.0%68.2%-5.7%-82.5%-79.1%-282.0%-61.2%426.5%130.4%-200.6%290.2%138.3%-354.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.68

Spread vs growth

149.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.82

Spread vs growth

140.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.32

Spread vs growth

133.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.4%

Total return

-3.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.12 → 1.09

Residual

-3.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

4.9xmed 9.8x40.3x