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v0.1
RAIL.ST$36.10+1.98%
Fair $36.10+0.0%

RAIL.ST

Railcare Group AB (publ)

Industrials / RailroadsStockholm

$36.10

+0.70 (+1.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $36.10Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $85.4M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 72/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.05, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · RAIL.STLocal privado en este navegador · Railcare Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$871M

P/E

18.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

12.8%

↑

Gross Margin

33.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.05

↑
52-Week Range$36
$25$36

TradingView lightweight chart

RAIL.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $36.10Periodo +401.4%
Fair value: $36.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

+106.2%

FCF margin

18.5%

FCF / Net income

3.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $667.6M · net income $39.8M · FCF $123.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.7%+8.2% pts

Operating margin

10.6%-0.0% pts

Net margin

6.0%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

18.5%+15.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$667.6M$667.6M$635.3M$564.2M$497.0M
Net Income$39.8M$39.8M$30.4M$44.1M$36.8M
EBITDA$212.2M$212.2M$168.4M$151.6M$95.2M
EPS1.651.651.261.831.52
Gross Margin33.7%33.7%32.8%36.4%25.5%
Operating Margin10.6%10.6%10.4%12.5%10.6%
Net Margin6.0%6.0%4.8%7.8%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.052.052.071.690.89
Current Ratio0.590.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$123.8M$123.8M$85.4M$75.6M$14.1M
Returns
ROE12.8%12.8%10.6%16.1%15.1%
Valuation
P/E18.5118.5119.8411.8014.01
EV/EBITDA6.796.796.746.227.35
P/B2.802.802.111.912.11
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.1%5.1%12.6%13.5%—
EPS Growth31.0%31.0%-31.1%20.4%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.20

Spread vs growth

6.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.88

Spread vs growth

12.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.24

Spread vs growth

16.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +44.1%

Total return

+44.1%

Start / end P/E

20.2x → 21.9x

EPS bridge

1.26 → 1.65

Residual

+2.6%

EPS growth+31.0%
Multiple rerating+8.5%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.