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RPAD3.SA$7.50+0.00%
Fair $7.50+0.0%

RPAD3.SA

Alfa Holdings S.A.

Industrials / ConglomeratesSão Paulo

$7.50

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.50Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.4M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · RPAD3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Alfa Holdings S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$650M

P/E

5.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$8
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

RPAD3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.500Periodo +357.3%
Fair value: $7.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+59.2%

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $82.2M · FCF $13.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Net Income$82.2M$82.2M$-115.5M$16.6M$66.4M
EBITDA$-1.4M$-1.4M$-8.1M$-6.7M$-4.4M
EPS0.970.97-1.360.190.75
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio35.0035.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$13.3M$13.3M$3.4M$-15000.00$3.3M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%-12.2%1.5%6.2%
Valuation
P/E5.245.24—42.479.24
P/B0.620.620.540.650.58
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth171.2%171.2%-829.3%-75.1%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.67

Spread vs growth

183.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.81

Spread vs growth

174.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.30

Spread vs growth

168.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +74.9%

Total return

+74.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.36 → 0.97

Residual

+74.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+74.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.