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RRGB$5.16+1.98%
Fair $5.16+0.0%

RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsNasdaqGS

$5.16

+0.10 (+1.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.16Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-19.0M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · RRGBLocal privado en este navegador · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$95M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

21.9%

↑

Gross Margin

31.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

-4.84

↓
52-Week Range$5
$2$8

TradingView lightweight chart

RRGB price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.160Periodo -57.8%
Fair value: $5.160

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.21B · net income $-23.3M · FCF $6.2M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.8%— pts

Operating margin

1.1%-2.2% pts

Net margin

-1.9%-4.0% pts

FCF margin

0.5%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$1.21B$1.21B$1.25B$1.30B$1.27B$1.16B$868.7M$1.32B$1.34B$1.39B$1.30B$1.26B$1.15B$1.02B$977.1M$914.9M$864.3M$841.0M
Net Income$-23.3M$-23.3M$-77.5M$-21.2M$-78.9M$-50.4M$-276.1M$-7.9M$-6.4M$30.0M$11.7M$47.7M$32.6M$32.2M$28.3M$20.6M$7.3M$17.6M
EBITDA$54.0M$54.0M$5.4M$71.8M$18.8M$46.3M$-187.6M$78.7M$84.9M$131.6M$98.3M$144.4M$109.3M$102.0M$100.7M$83.3M$66.5M$85.1M
EPS-1.31-1.31-4.93-1.34-4.91-3.22-19.29-0.61-0.492.310.873.362.252.221.931.340.461.14
Gross Margin31.8%31.8%29.9%32.1%33.2%—————————————
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%-1.5%0.2%-1.4%-3.2%-31.7%-1.0%-0.8%2.8%0.9%5.3%3.9%4.3%4.6%3.1%1.1%3.3%
Net Margin-1.9%-1.9%-6.2%-1.6%-6.2%-4.3%-31.8%-0.6%-0.5%2.2%0.9%3.8%2.8%3.2%2.9%2.2%0.8%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-4.84-4.84-6.86-29.88362.312.251.360.570.51—————————
Current Ratio0.470.47————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.2M$6.2M$-19.0M$-50.6M$-2.6M—————————————
Returns
ROE21.9%21.9%92.0%103.8%-4409.3%-67.7%-232.7%-2.2%-1.7%7.7%3.4%12.7%9.1%9.3%9.2%7.0%2.4%6.1%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA10.8610.86119.2010.6837.33—————————————
P/B————56.31—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.1%-3.1%-4.2%3.0%—33.7%-33.9%-1.8%-3.5%6.5%3.6%9.7%12.7%4.1%6.8%5.9%2.8%—
EPS Growth73.4%73.4%-267.9%72.7%—83.3%-3062.3%-24.5%-121.2%165.5%-74.1%49.3%1.4%15.0%44.0%191.3%-59.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.2%

Total return

+1.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-4.93 → -1.31

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.