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v0.1
SDHC$13.13-0.15%
Fair $13.13+0.0%

SDHC

Smith Douglas Homes Corp.

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentNYSE

$13.13

-0.02 (-0.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.13Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 1/9
Margin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 100.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · SDHCLocal privado en este navegador · Smith Douglas Homes Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$110M

P/E

13.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

12.3%

↑

Gross Margin

21.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$13
$11$24

TradingView lightweight chart

SDHC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.13Periodo -45.3%
Fair value: $13.13

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.8%

FCF / Net income

-3.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $971.1M · net income $10.7M · FCF $-36.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.8%-7.6% pts

Operating margin

7.5%-11.0% pts

Net margin

1.1%-17.5% pts

FCF margin

-3.8%-21.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$971.1M$971.1M$975.5M$764.6M$755.4M
Net Income$10.7M$10.7M$16.1M$123.2M$140.4M
EBITDA$76.6M$76.6M$121.2M$125.9M$142.3M
EPS1.191.191.8116.0117.79
Gross Margin21.8%21.8%26.2%28.3%29.5%
Operating Margin7.5%7.5%12.2%16.2%18.5%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.6%16.1%18.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.160.450.12
Current Ratio7.387.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-36.9M$-36.9M$15.2M$74.9M$131.1M
Returns
ROE12.3%12.3%21.8%59.0%85.4%
Valuation
P/E13.8213.8213.53——
EV/EBITDA2.382.381.75——
P/B1.391.393.01——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.4%-0.4%27.6%1.2%—
EPS Growth-34.3%-34.3%-88.7%-10.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.17

Spread vs growth

-33.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.41

Spread vs growth

-37.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.27

Spread vs growth

-40.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.9%

Total return

-29.9%

Start / end P/E

10.3x → 11.0x

EPS bridge

1.81 → 1.19

Residual

-2.3%

EPS growth-34.3%
Multiple rerating+6.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.