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v0.1
SERV$9.42+0.75%
Fair $9.42+0.0%

SERV

Serve Robotics Inc.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryNasdaqCM

$9.42

+0.07 (+0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.42Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-31.8M · quality 59.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 1unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -28.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SERVLocal privado en este navegador · Serve Robotics Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$802M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-28.9%

↓

Gross Margin

-580.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$9
$8$19

TradingView lightweight chart

SERV price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.420Periodo -60.4%
Fair value: $9.420

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4450.4%

FCF / Net income

1.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.7M · net income $-101.4M · FCF $-118.0M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-580.2%— pts

Operating margin

-4253.8%— pts

Net margin

-3823.5%— pts

FCF margin

-4450.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Income Statement
Revenue$2.7M$2.7M$1.8M$207545.00$107819.00——
Net Income$-101.4M$-101.4M$-39.2M$-24.8M$-21.9M$-54627.00—
EBITDA$-96.8M$-96.8M$-36.9M$-17.4M$-20.8M——
EPS——-1.07-0.67-0.59-0.01—
Gross Margin-580.2%-580.2%-4.1%-733.7%-965.1%——
Operating Margin-4253.8%-4253.8%-2111.9%-9279.2%-19433.5%——
Net Margin-3823.5%-3823.5%-2161.7%-11955.8%-20270.2%——
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.02-1.08-0.60——
Current Ratio10.1910.19—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-118.0M$-118.0M$-31.8M$-16.0M$-25.0M——
Returns
ROE-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%615.2%175.5%-0.7%—
Valuation
P/B2.012.015.30————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth46.2%46.2%773.5%92.5%———
EPS Growth——-59.3%-13.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.5%

Total return

-19.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.07 → n/d

Residual

-19.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.