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SGER.JK$302.00+1.34%
Fair $302.00+0.0%

SGER.JK

PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk

Energy / Thermal CoalJakarta

$302.00

+4.00 (+1.34%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $302.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-673.3B · quality 36.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · SGER.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.71T

P/E

22.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.3x

↑

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

8.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.03

↑
52-Week Range$302
$262$700

TradingView lightweight chart

SGER.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $302.00Periodo +1401.6%
Fair value: $302.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.0%

FCF / Net income

-3.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.74T · net income $213.27B · FCF $-673.27B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.0%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

4.4%-1.5% pts

Net margin

3.2%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

-10.0%-11.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6739.52B$6739.52B$14762.48B$12312.86B$10448.88B
Net Income$213.27B$213.27B$658.70B$687.95B$605.67B
EBITDA$407.15B$407.15B$930.48B$889.10B$785.10B
EPS13.6813.6842.2644.5839.32
Gross Margin8.0%8.0%7.0%8.6%7.0%
Operating Margin4.4%4.4%5.7%7.3%5.9%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%4.5%5.6%5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.031.030.590.520.32
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-673.27B$-673.27B$-725.09B$-334.11B$147.85B
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%31.0%47.4%61.6%
Valuation
P/E22.3222.329.1313.504.05
EV/EBITDA16.3216.327.6510.973.03
P/B2.112.112.836.412.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-54.3%-54.3%19.9%17.8%—
EPS Growth-67.6%-67.6%-5.2%13.4%—
Dividend Yield10.8%10.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$26.80

Spread vs growth

-92.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$32.42

Spread vs growth

-86.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$52.22

Spread vs growth

-82.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.4%

Total return

-3.4%

Start / end P/E

8.3x → 22.1x

EPS bridge

42.26 → 13.68

Residual

-111.6%

EPS growth-67.6%
Multiple rerating+165.0%
Dividend+10.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-111.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.