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SHEP.AQ$506.00-0.30%
Fair $506.00+0.0%

SHEP.AQ

Shepherd Neame Limited

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsAquis AQSE

$506.00

-1.50 (-0.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $506.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.2M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SHEP.AQLocal privado en este navegador · Shepherd Neame Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$74M

P/E

16.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

317.0x

↑

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

61.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.77

↑
52-Week Range$506
$4$508

TradingView lightweight chart

SHEP.AQ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $506.00Periodo +4377.9%
Fair value: $506.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

1.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $172.3M · net income $4.9M · FCF $9.5M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

61.8%+12.6% pts

Operating margin

8.0%+11.8% pts

Net margin

2.8%+23.3% pts

FCF margin

5.5%+7.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$172.3M$172.3M$166.3M$151.5M$86.9M
Net Income$4.9M$4.9M$3.5M$6.3M$-17.8M
EBITDA$24.0M$24.0M$20.9M$23.5M$558000.00
EPS——0.230.42-1.21
Gross Margin61.8%61.8%58.6%55.7%49.1%
Operating Margin8.0%8.0%7.8%8.9%-3.8%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%2.1%4.1%-20.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.770.770.770.770.91
Current Ratio0.850.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$9.5M$9.5M$10.2M$15.7M$-2.1M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%1.9%3.5%-10.5%
Valuation
P/E16.8716.8725.5419.15—
EV/EBITDA317.02317.0210.7210.72534.42
P/B41.2541.250.490.680.88
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.6%3.6%9.7%74.4%—
EPS Growth——-44.9%135.1%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10126.5%

Total return

+10126.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.23 → n/d

Residual

+10122.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10122.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.