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SHP.JO$28253.00-0.99%
Fair $28253.00+0.0%

SHP.JO

Shoprite Holdings Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresJohannesburg

$28253.00

-283.00 (-0.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28253.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.1B · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · SHP.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Shoprite Holdings Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$152.8B

P/E

20.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

621.3x

↑

ROE

25.1%

↑

Gross Margin

24.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.85

↑
52-Week Range$28253
$25061$30075

TradingView lightweight chart

SHP.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28,253Periodo +3074.5%
Fair value: $28,253

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.2%

FCF CAGR

+31.8%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

0.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $252.70B · net income $7.58B · FCF $2.98B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.3%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

5.4%+0.0% pts

Net margin

3.0%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

1.2%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$252.70B$252.70B$232.09B$214.96B$183.87B
Net Income$7.58B$7.58B$6.25B$5.89B$5.71B
EBITDA$24.66B$24.66B$21.30B$19.94B$17.48B
EPS1396.201396.201143.7010.7810.41
Gross Margin24.3%24.3%23.9%24.1%24.5%
Operating Margin5.4%5.4%5.0%4.9%5.4%
Net Margin3.0%3.0%2.7%2.7%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.851.851.781.861.65
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.98B$2.98B$6.11B$3.12B$1.30B
Returns
ROE25.1%25.1%22.5%22.5%22.4%
Valuation
P/E20.4920.4924.952040.911992.41
EV/EBITDA621.27621.27733.49604.22653.06
P/B505.78505.78560.79459.75446.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.9%8.9%8.0%16.9%—
EPS Growth22.1%22.1%10510.4%3.5%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2506.98

Spread vs growth

0.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3033.45

Spread vs growth

5.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4885.40

Spread vs growth

8.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.4%

Total return

-0.4%

Start / end P/E

25.5x → 20.2x

EPS bridge

1143.70 → 1396.20

Residual

-4.6%

EPS growth+22.1%
Multiple rerating-20.7%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.