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SHV.AX$3.97+1.02%
Fair $3.97+0.0%

SHV.AX

Select Harvests Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsASX

$3.97

+0.04 (+1.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.97Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.5M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · SHV.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Select Harvests Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$564M

P/E

18.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.6x

↑

ROE

6.1%

↓

Gross Margin

17.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.57

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

SHV.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.970Periodo +337.8%
Fair value: $3.970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

19.9%

FCF / Net income

2.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $397.8M · net income $31.8M · FCF $79.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.2%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

10.9%+20.6% pts

Net margin

8.0%+5.6% pts

FCF margin

19.9%+22.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$397.8M$397.8M$336.8M$205.4M$199.0M
Net Income$31.8M$31.8M$1.5M$-114.7M$4.8M
EBITDA$59.1M$59.1M$30.6M$-135.3M$33.6M
EPS0.220.220.01-0.930.04
Gross Margin17.2%17.2%9.8%-49.4%11.9%
Operating Margin10.9%10.9%0.1%-65.2%-9.7%
Net Margin8.0%8.0%0.4%-55.8%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.570.570.871.020.73
Current Ratio2.452.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$79.0M$79.0M$-4.5M$-31.2M$-5.4M
Returns
ROE6.1%6.1%0.3%-27.9%0.9%
Valuation
P/E18.9018.90285.48—133.84
EV/EBITDA14.6114.6127.71—29.97
P/B1.091.090.891.201.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.1%18.1%64.0%3.3%—
EPS Growth1691.9%1691.9%101.3%-2530.8%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

16.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

1675.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

1678.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

1680.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.4%

Total return

-13.4%

Start / end P/E

377.4x → 17.9x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.22

Residual

-1611.8%

EPS growth+1691.9%
Multiple rerating-95.3%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1611.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.