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SIAV.MI$2.58+3.20%
Fair $2.58+0.0%

SIAV.MI

Siav S.p.A.

Technology / Software - ApplicationMilan

$2.58

+0.08 (+3.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.58Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4M · quality 33.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · SIAV.MILocal privado en este navegador · Siav S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23M

P/E

14.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

13.7%

↑

Gross Margin

64.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.81

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

SIAV.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.580Periodo -17.2%
Fair value: $2.580

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.6%

FCF / Net income

2.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $36.5M · net income $1.4M · FCF $3.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.3%+15.3% pts

Operating margin

11.9%+6.9% pts

Net margin

3.8%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

8.6%+19.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$36.5M$36.5M$34.1M$34.0M$33.5M
Net Income$1.4M$1.4M$-1.5M$-275834.00$1.0M
EBITDA$8.3M$8.3M$4.7M$5.0M$5.5M
EPS——-0.17-0.030.12
Gross Margin64.3%64.3%62.3%60.2%49.1%
Operating Margin11.9%11.9%3.2%4.5%4.9%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%-4.4%-0.8%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.811.812.922.302.31
Current Ratio0.700.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.1M$3.1M$1.4M$-1.1M$-3.7M
Returns
ROE13.7%13.7%-18.5%-2.9%9.9%
Valuation
P/E14.3314.33——25.04
EV/EBITDA4.764.768.289.457.59
P/B2.312.312.242.892.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%0.3%1.3%—
EPS Growth——-440.9%-125.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.2%

Total return

+13.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.17 → n/d

Residual

+13.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.