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SIGA$4.30-3.04%
Fair $4.30+0.0%

SIGA

SIGA Technologies, Inc.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericNasdaqGM

$4.30

-0.14 (-3.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.30Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $48.7M · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · SIGALocal privado en este navegador · SIGA Technologies, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$309M

P/E

15.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

68.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$10

TradingView lightweight chart

SIGA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.305Periodo +164.9%
Fair value: $4.305

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

45.6%

FCF / Net income

1.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $94.6M · net income $23.3M · FCF $43.1M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.6%— pts

Operating margin

25.1%— pts

Net margin

24.6%— pts

FCF margin

45.6%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$94.6M$94.6M$138.7M$139.9M$110.8M$133.7M$125.0M$26.7M$477.1M$12.3M$15.0M———————
Net Income$23.3M$23.3M$59.2M$68.1M$33.9M$69.5M$56.3M$-7.2M$421.8M$-36.2M$-39.7M$-39.5M$-265.5M$-17.2M$-14.1M$29.1M$-50.3M$-19.4M
EBITDA$24.3M$24.3M$70.5M$84.2M$43.2M$89.6M$85.0M$-1.8M$355.2M$-18.7M$-30.8M$-30.7M$-209.3M$-23.1M$-22.1M$-30.8M$-12.1M$-11.4M
EPS0.320.320.820.950.460.910.71-0.155.18-0.46-0.69-0.73-4.97-0.33-0.270.09-1.12-0.52
Gross Margin68.6%68.6%77.4%87.3%90.6%—————————————
Operating Margin25.1%25.1%50.4%59.8%38.5%66.7%67.6%-8.7%74.4%-153.6%-206.9%———————
Net Margin24.6%24.6%42.7%48.6%30.6%52.0%45.1%-27.1%88.4%-295.3%-264.9%———————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00———————0.000.120.140.00——
Current Ratio3.253.25————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$43.1M$43.1M$48.7M$94.8M$41.6M——$-18.2M$68.8M$-18.5M$-116.8M$11.0M$14.1M$57.6M$-20.8M$25.3M$-11.4M$-8.8M
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%27.4%34.6%19.9%39.8%43.4%-7.4%409.9%11.2%13.8%13.9%107.7%-101.2%-49.8%71.4%389.9%150.2%
Valuation
P/E15.3715.377.726.0615.74—————————————
EV/EBITDA6.396.394.263.1310.05—————————————
P/B1.561.562.112.103.13—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-31.8%-31.8%-0.9%26.3%—7.0%367.3%-94.4%3788.3%-18.1%————————
EPS Growth-61.0%-61.0%-13.7%106.5%—28.2%573.3%-102.9%1226.1%33.3%5.5%85.3%-1406.1%-22.2%-400.0%108.0%-115.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

6.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.38

Spread vs growth

-67.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.46

Spread vs growth

-68.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.74

Spread vs growth

-69.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.2%

Total return

-29.2%

Start / end P/E

7.4x → 13.5x

EPS bridge

0.82 → 0.32

Residual

-49.7%

EPS growth-61.0%
Multiple rerating+81.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-49.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.