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SKC.AX$0.41+0.00%
Fair $0.41+0.0%

SKC.AX

SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Resorts & CasinosASX

$0.41

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.41Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-107.2M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SKC.AXLocal privado en este navegador · SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$458M

P/E

13.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

92.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.60

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

SKC.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.415Periodo -70.3%
Fair value: $0.415

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.5%

FCF / Net income

-4.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $821.3M · net income $29.2M · FCF $-118.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

92.4%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

14.7%+11.3% pts

Net margin

3.6%+9.6% pts

FCF margin

-14.5%-28.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$821.3M$821.3M$861.0M$855.8M$553.5M
Net Income$29.2M$29.2M$-143.3M$8.0M$-33.6M
EBITDA$217.0M$217.0M$144.4M$172.4M$99.4M
EPS0.040.04-0.180.01-0.04
Gross Margin92.4%92.4%92.7%93.0%93.8%
Operating Margin14.7%14.7%15.0%15.4%3.3%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%-16.6%0.9%-6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.600.560.450.41
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-118.7M$-118.7M$-107.2M$17.2M$79.7M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%-11.0%0.5%-2.1%
Valuation
P/E13.8313.83—207.99—
EV/EBITDA5.025.0212.2012.6525.10
P/B0.250.250.841.131.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.6%-4.6%0.6%54.6%—
EPS Growth120.6%120.6%-1818.3%125.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

120.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

116.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

113.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -50.6%

Total return

-50.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.18 → 0.04

Residual

-50.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-50.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.