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SMMT.JK$1770.00-7.81%
Fair $1770.00+0.0%

SMMT.JK

PT Golden Eagle Energy Tbk

Energy / Thermal CoalJakarta

$1770.00

-150.00 (-7.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1770.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.2M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · SMMT.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Golden Eagle Energy Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.06T

P/E

124.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

863706.9x

↑

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

8.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.84

↑
52-Week Range$1770
$825$3230

TradingView lightweight chart

SMMT.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,770Periodo +13743.3%
Fair value: $1,770

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.1%

FCF / Net income

-1.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $103.6M · net income $4.1M · FCF $-6.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.1%-24.1% pts

Operating margin

4.1%-22.2% pts

Net margin

3.9%-30.6% pts

FCF margin

-6.1%-45.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$103.6M$103.6M$51.4M$65.1M$67.4M
Net Income$4.1M$4.1M$2.1M$15.7M$23.3M
EBITDA$7.0M$7.0M$2.5M$18.4M$30.4M
EPS——0.000.000.01
Gross Margin8.1%8.1%5.4%17.5%32.2%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%0.3%9.6%26.3%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%4.2%24.1%34.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.840.84———
Current Ratio0.890.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.4M$-6.4M$4.2M$9.5M$26.3M
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%4.0%29.9%37.3%
Valuation
P/E124.56124.561042857.14180080.4886556.67
EV/EBITDA863706.87863706.87913145.63153302.1166417.90
P/B187386.21187386.2143878.5553839.3232258.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth101.7%101.7%-21.1%-3.5%—
EPS Growth——-85.9%-32.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +91.4%

Total return

+91.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.00 → n/d

Residual

+91.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+91.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.