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SMSI$0.88+1.15%
Fair $0.88+0.0%

SMSI

Smith Micro Software, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationNasdaqCM

$0.88

+0.01 (+1.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.88Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-7.3M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 4 consecutive years ROE is -1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SMSILocal privado en este navegador · Smith Micro Software, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-159.5%

↓

Gross Margin

74.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

SMSI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.880Periodo -99.2%
Fair value: $0.880

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-41.9%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.4M · net income $-29.3M · FCF $-7.3M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

74.1%-11.5% pts

Operating margin

-110.8%-121.2% pts

Net margin

-168.9%-173.3% pts

FCF margin

-41.9%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$17.4M$17.4M$20.6M$40.9M$48.5M$58.4M$51.3M$43.3M$26.3M$23.0M$28.2M$39.5M$37.0M$42.7M$43.3M$57.8M$130.5M$107.3M
Net Income$-29.3M$-29.3M$-48.7M$-24.4M$-29.3M$-31.0M$4.2M$10.7M$-2.7M$-6.7M$-15.3M$-2.6M$-11.8M$-28.0M$-25.5M$-159.6M$12.3M$4.8M
EBITDA$-13.8M$-13.8M$-19.1M$-10.7M$-18.8M$-29.7M$4.2M$10.5M$-714000.00$-5.0M$-14.7M$-638000.00$-8.8M$-23.8M$-22.6M$-155.5M$30.2M$21.6M
EPS-1.46-1.46-3.94-3.04-4.24-4.880.802.32-1.12-3.92-10.24-1.84-9.28-24.32-22.72-143.3611.524.48
Gross Margin74.1%74.1%70.2%74.2%70.7%78.3%89.9%90.9%83.5%77.9%73.2%79.4%74.8%77.3%80.5%76.2%88.1%85.6%
Operating Margin-110.8%-110.8%-123.6%-44.2%-63.7%-53.0%6.9%23.3%-4.6%-24.7%-56.3%-6.4%-31.8%-65.2%-62.3%-286.8%14.1%10.4%
Net Margin-168.9%-168.9%-236.9%-59.7%-60.4%-53.1%8.1%24.7%-10.4%-29.0%-54.3%-6.6%-31.9%-65.5%-58.8%-276.3%9.5%4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.060.040.18————0.830.85———————
Current Ratio1.371.37————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7.3M$-7.3M$-14.3M$-7.0M$-19.3M—————————————
Returns
ROE-159.5%-159.5%-119.5%-32.4%-38.3%-30.9%7.1%22.0%-13.3%-145.9%-501.6%-18.6%-79.2%-153.8%-59.7%-246.1%5.7%2.5%
Valuation
P/B0.990.990.420.711.71—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%-49.7%-15.8%—13.9%18.4%64.9%14.4%-18.6%-28.5%6.8%-13.3%-1.5%-25.0%-55.7%21.6%—
EPS Growth62.9%62.9%-29.6%28.3%—-710.0%-65.5%307.1%71.4%61.7%-456.5%80.2%61.8%-7.0%84.2%-1344.4%157.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.3%

Total return

+7.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.94 → -1.46

Residual

+7.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.