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SMSM.JK$1710.00+0.29%
Fair $1710.00+0.0%

SMSM.JK

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsJakarta

$1710.00

+5.00 (+0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1710.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $935.9B · quality 85.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 90/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · SMSM.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.85T

P/E

8.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

29.5%

↑

Gross Margin

37.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$1710
$1655$2050

TradingView lightweight chart

SMSM.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,710Periodo +1882.6%
Fair value: $1,710

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.9%

FCF CAGR

+5.0%

FCF margin

17.2%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.34T · net income $1.12T · FCF $918.48B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.1%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

28.1%+5.6% pts

Net margin

21.1%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

17.2%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5338.79B$5338.79B$5164.98B$5108.40B$4894.16B
Net Income$1124.70B$1124.70B$1024.18B$945.95B$848.32B
EBITDA$1591.41B$1591.41B$1470.68B$1368.02B$1224.39B
EPS195.00195.00178.00164.00147.00
Gross Margin37.1%37.1%37.1%36.0%32.8%
Operating Margin28.1%28.1%26.6%25.1%22.5%
Net Margin21.1%21.1%19.8%18.5%17.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.060.090.12
Current Ratio5.945.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$918.48B$918.48B$937.45B$935.91B$793.57B
Returns
ROE29.5%29.5%29.5%29.3%29.2%
Valuation
P/E8.918.9110.6712.0410.51
EV/EBITDA5.625.626.837.706.75
P/B2.592.593.153.523.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%1.1%4.4%—
EPS Growth9.6%9.6%8.5%11.6%—
Dividend Yield8.2%8.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$151.73

Spread vs growth

17.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$183.60

Spread vs growth

10.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$295.69

Spread vs growth

5.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.7%

Total return

-2.7%

Start / end P/E

10.8x → 8.8x

EPS bridge

178.00 → 195.00

Residual

-1.8%

EPS growth+9.6%
Multiple rerating-18.7%
Dividend+8.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.