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v0.1
SNCY$16.17+0.00%
Fair $16.17+0.0%

SNCY

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc

Industrials / AirlinesNasdaqGM

$16.17

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.17Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $84.0M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · SNCYLocal privado en este navegador · Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$876M

P/E

22.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

22.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.95

↑
52-Week Range$16
$10$22

TradingView lightweight chart

SNCY price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.17Periodo -55.6%
Fair value: $16.17

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

1.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.13B · net income $52.8M · FCF $84.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.4%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

9.1%+2.9% pts

Net margin

4.7%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

7.5%+14.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.13B$1.13B$1.08B$1.05B$894.4M
Net Income$52.8M$52.8M$52.9M$72.2M$17.7M
EBITDA$205.9M$205.9M$208.9M$224.9M$122.6M
EPS0.960.960.961.230.29
Gross Margin22.4%22.4%22.9%25.6%19.9%
Operating Margin9.1%9.1%9.9%12.1%6.2%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%4.9%6.9%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.950.951.091.361.28
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$84.0M$84.0M$117.5M$-44.0M$-60.5M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%9.3%14.0%3.6%
Valuation
P/E22.1522.1514.9312.2659.62
EV/EBITDA6.486.486.346.8212.99
P/B1.421.421.381.722.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.7%4.7%2.5%17.3%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-22.0%324.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.43

Spread vs growth

-14.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.74

Spread vs growth

-12.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.80

Spread vs growth

-11.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.5%

Total return

+33.5%

Start / end P/E

12.6x → 16.8x

EPS bridge

0.96 → 0.96

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating+33.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.