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SPG.JO$1680.00+0.18%
Fair $1680.00+0.0%

SPG.JO

Super Group Limited

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsJohannesburg

$1680.00

+3.00 (+0.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1680.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-792.9M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · SPG.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Super Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.7B

P/E

4.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

235.8x

↑

ROE

31.3%

↑

Gross Margin

95.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.77

↑
52-Week Range$1680
$1202$3081

TradingView lightweight chart

SPG.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,680Periodo -66.0%
Fair value: $1,680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.51B · net income $4.03B · FCF $-792.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

95.9%+83.3% pts

Operating margin

4.5%-2.4% pts

Net margin

9.1%+6.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.8%-3.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$44.51B$44.51B$45.15B$62.03B$47.37B
Net Income$4.03B$4.03B$43.5M$1.62B$1.36B
EBITDA$2.43B$2.43B$7.29B$9.36B$7.42B
EPS11.9011.900.134.753.74
Gross Margin95.9%95.9%11.8%12.6%12.6%
Operating Margin4.5%4.5%4.8%6.5%6.9%
Net Margin9.1%9.1%0.1%2.6%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.770.772.522.041.88
Current Ratio1.181.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-792.9M$-792.9M$-3.93B$-285.5M$692.1M
Returns
ROE31.3%31.3%0.3%10.5%10.1%
Valuation
P/E4.124.1223426.36680.55715.43
EV/EBITDA235.85235.85143.86120.66133.88
P/B44.1544.1570.2071.2872.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.4%-1.4%-27.2%30.9%—
EPS Growth9128.7%9128.7%-97.3%27.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

132.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$149.07

Spread vs growth

8996.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

72.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$180.38

Spread vs growth

9056.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

37.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$290.50

Spread vs growth

9091.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -44.4%

Total return

-44.4%

Start / end P/E

23410.9x → 141.1x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 11.90

Residual

-9073.7%

EPS growth+9128.7%
Multiple rerating-99.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9073.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.