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STGW$7.39+5.42%
Fair $7.39+0.0%

STGW

Stagwell Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesNasdaqGS

$7.39

+0.38 (+5.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.39Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 7/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $88.9M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.12, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is 3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · STGWLocal privado en este navegador · Stagwell Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.8B

P/E

105.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↑

ROE

3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

36.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.12

↑
52-Week Range$7
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

STGW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.390Periodo +24.9%
Fair value: $7.390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+6.8%

FCF margin

6.2%

FCF / Net income

6.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.91B · net income $29.1M · FCF $179.8M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.5%— pts

Operating margin

5.5%— pts

Net margin

1.0%— pts

FCF margin

6.2%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$2.91B$2.91B$2.84B$2.53B$2.69B$1.47B$888.0M$1.42B$1.48B$1.51B$1.39B———————
Net Income$29.1M$29.1M$2.3M$134000.00$19.9M$21.0M$56.4M$-5.3M$-130.0M$241.8M$-45.8M$-35.5M$-21.4M$-148.9M$-85.4M$-84.7M$-15.4M$-18.3M
EBITDA$404.0M$404.0M$356.8M$401.2M$360.3M$122.2M$124.8M$117.8M$47.6M$175.4M$94.9M$124.3M$134.9M$1.5M$24.5M$50.1M$65.7M$56.9M
EPS0.080.080.020.000.17———-2.313.71-0.89-0.71——————
Gross Margin36.5%36.5%35.1%35.9%37.7%—————————————
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%4.7%4.0%10.5%3.0%9.4%5.6%0.1%8.7%3.5%———————
Net Margin1.0%1.0%0.1%0.0%0.7%1.4%6.3%-0.4%-8.8%16.0%-3.3%———————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.122.125.004.193.123.210.55-3.85-3.06-4.13-1.63-1.27-1.68-2.02-3.01-7.324.82—
Current Ratio0.830.83————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$179.8M$179.8M$88.9M$38.6M$312.1M$192.1M$133.4M$67.9M$-3.0M$38.8M$-75.3M$137.8M$138.9M$42.5M$59.8M$-18.7M$26.2M$63.2M
Returns
ROE3.8%3.8%0.7%0.0%4.0%5.7%15.7%2.3%41.7%-113.3%8.0%6.2%4.9%45.2%59.8%161.4%-26.1%-20.3%
Valuation
P/E105.57105.57325.005485.5638.29—————————————
EV/EBITDA7.757.756.395.269.06—————————————
P/B2.152.152.272.063.87—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.4%2.4%12.4%-6.0%—65.5%-37.3%-4.0%-2.6%9.2%————————
EPS Growth300.0%300.0%1649.8%-99.3%————-162.3%516.9%-25.4%———————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

101.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

198.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

58.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.79

Spread vs growth

241.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.28

Spread vs growth

268.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +65.7%

Total return

+65.7%

Start / end P/E

223.0x → 92.4x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.08

Residual

-175.7%

EPS growth+300.0%
Multiple rerating-58.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-175.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.