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v0.1
STRL$845.39-1.79%
Fair $845.39+0.0%

STRL

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionNasdaqGS

$845.39

-15.45 (-1.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $845.39Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $414.2M · quality 73.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · STRLLocal privado en este navegador · Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$25.9B

P/E

75.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

51.7x

↑

ROE

26.2%

↑

Gross Margin

23.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.32

↓
52-Week Range$845
$183$893

TradingView lightweight chart

STRL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $845.39Periodo +64310.7%
Fair value: $845.39

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.3%

FCF CAGR

+14.4%

FCF margin

14.6%

FCF / Net income

1.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.49B · net income $290.2M · FCF $362.7M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.0%+9.1% pts

Operating margin

16.6%+7.2% pts

Net margin

11.7%+5.6% pts

FCF margin

14.6%+3.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$2.49B$2.49B$2.12B$1.97B$1.77B$1.41B$1.23B$1.13B$1.04B$958.0M$690.1M$623.6M$672.2M$556.2M$630.5M$501.2M$459.9M$390.8M
Net Income$290.2M$290.2M$257.5M$138.7M$106.5M$62.6M$42.3M$40.7M$29.5M$11.6M$-9.2M$-20.4M$-9.8M$-73.9M$-297000.00$-35.9M$19.1M$23.7M
EBITDA$505.4M$505.4M$451.9M$277.3M$212.8M$141.2M$125.4M$58.5M$59.4M$43.2M$11.0M$1.8M$14.1M$-50.5M$35.0M$-34.9M$51.7M$50.7M
EPS9.389.388.274.443.482.151.501.470.930.43-0.40-2.02—-4.91-0.26-2.241.131.71
Gross Margin23.0%23.0%20.1%17.1%15.5%14.4%14.6%9.6%10.6%9.3%6.1%4.4%4.8%-5.4%7.5%7.9%13.6%13.9%
Operating Margin16.6%16.6%12.8%10.4%9.1%7.6%7.5%3.4%4.1%2.7%-0.7%-2.3%-0.6%-12.4%2.5%-10.4%7.8%9.5%
Net Margin11.7%11.7%12.2%7.0%6.0%4.4%3.4%3.6%2.8%1.2%-1.3%-3.3%-1.5%-13.3%-0.0%-7.2%4.2%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.460.641.031.191.091.780.480.610.010.160.280.060.120.000.00—
Current Ratio1.101.10————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$362.7M$362.7M$416.1M$414.2M$158.2M$112.3M$90.0M$26.7M$26.3M$15.3M$33.4M$590000.00$-24.0M$-36.5M$-12.6M$-3.0M$33.7M$42.1M
Returns
ROE26.2%26.2%31.9%22.4%22.4%17.5%15.8%18.5%18.0%8.2%-8.6%-21.3%-7.3%-57.4%-0.1%-16.8%7.6%—
Valuation
P/E75.7575.7521.4617.369.19—————————————
EV/EBITDA51.6951.6911.588.416.05—————————————
P/B23.6023.606.843.892.06—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.7%17.7%7.3%11.5%—15.3%8.9%8.5%8.3%38.8%10.7%-7.2%20.9%-11.8%25.8%9.0%17.7%—
EPS Growth13.4%13.4%86.3%27.6%—43.3%2.0%58.1%116.3%207.5%80.2%——-1788.5%88.4%-298.2%-33.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

100.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$75.01

Spread vs growth

-86.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

57.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$90.77

Spread vs growth

-44.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$146.18

Spread vs growth

-18.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +349.7%

Total return

+349.7%

Start / end P/E

22.7x → 90.1x

EPS bridge

8.27 → 9.38

Residual

+39.8%

EPS growth+13.4%
Multiple rerating+296.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.