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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
STX.AX$0.12-4.00%
Fair $0.12+0.0%

STX.AX

Strike Energy Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PASX

$0.12

-0.01 (-4.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.12Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-77.1M · quality 72.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -53.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · STX.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Strike Energy Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$432M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-53.1%

↓

Gross Margin

15.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.27

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

STX.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.120Periodo -31.5%
Fair value: $0.120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-67.8%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $72.7M · net income $-157.3M · FCF $-49.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.0%— pts

Operating margin

-178.0%— pts

Net margin

-216.4%— pts

FCF margin

-67.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$72.7M$72.7M$45.6M——
Net Income$-157.3M$-157.3M$8.6M$-18.4M$-15.7M
EBITDA$-119.4M$-119.4M$9.2M$-13.6M$-11.0M
EPS-0.06-0.060.00-0.01-0.01
Gross Margin15.0%15.0%45.1%——
Operating Margin-178.0%-178.0%-3.0%——
Net Margin-216.4%-216.4%18.8%——
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.050.110.16
Current Ratio2.292.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-49.3M$-49.3M$-77.1M$-79.7M$-62.5M
Returns
ROE-53.1%-53.1%1.9%-6.4%-13.5%
Valuation
P/E——71.88——
EV/EBITDA——66.13——
P/B1.161.161.373.284.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth59.5%59.5%———
EPS Growth-1818.8%-1818.8%140.0%-3.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.0%

Total return

-25.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.00 → -0.06

Residual

-25.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.