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SU.TO$87.92+2.03%
Fair $87.92+0.0%

SU.TO

Suncor Energy Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedToronto

$87.92

+1.75 (+2.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $87.92Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.9B · quality 79.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · SU.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Suncor Energy Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$103.8B

P/E

16.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

41.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↓
52-Week Range$88
$49$97

TradingView lightweight chart

SU.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $87.92Periodo +1043.7%
Fair value: $87.92

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.9%

FCF CAGR

-13.1%

FCF margin

13.2%

FCF / Net income

1.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $52.38B · net income $5.92B · FCF $6.92B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.4%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

15.3%-6.9% pts

Net margin

11.3%-3.1% pts

FCF margin

13.2%-3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$52.38B$52.38B$54.88B$52.21B$62.91B
Net Income$5.92B$5.92B$6.02B$8.29B$9.08B
EBITDA$15.61B$15.61B$15.84B$17.81B$22.01B
EPS4.854.854.726.336.53
Gross Margin41.4%41.4%40.8%42.0%42.7%
Operating Margin15.3%15.3%16.5%17.1%22.1%
Net Margin11.3%11.3%11.0%15.9%14.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.330.360.40
Current Ratio1.421.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.92B$6.92B$9.48B$6.41B$10.56B
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%13.5%19.2%23.1%
Valuation
P/E16.7116.7111.157.136.46
EV/EBITDA7.577.574.954.093.28
P/B2.382.381.511.371.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.6%-4.6%5.1%-17.0%—
EPS Growth2.8%2.8%-25.4%-3.1%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.80

Spread vs growth

-14.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.44

Spread vs growth

-11.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$15.20

Spread vs growth

-9.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +83.0%

Total return

+83.0%

Start / end P/E

10.3x → 18.1x

EPS bridge

4.72 → 4.85

Residual

+2.1%

EPS growth+2.8%
Multiple rerating+75.4%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.